Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens Free Week 5 NFL Picks

David Lawrence

Friday, October 9, 2015 3:59 PM GMT

A pair of 1-3 AFC North teams meet in Baltimore this weekend. Cleveland lost their last two by a combined 10 points & The Ravens finally got their first W of the season in Pittsburgh.

Opening Odds & Line Movement

Open: -6.5 -105 at Pinnacle
The Ravens opened this NFL betting line as 6.5-point favorites at home, then the NFL odds dipped to -6 and back up to -6.5. Usually, you wouldn't bat an eye at this line, but the Ravens have been borderline terrible this year and the Browns haven't played that poorly; a few breaks here and there and they could be 3-1.

Josh McCown has played very well, even though the media is still trying to drum up a quarterback controversy. His quarterback rating is double that of Joe Flacco, his Baltimore counterpart, and no one would have expected that coming into the season.

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Browns vs. Ravens Spread

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Browns vs. Ravens Money Line

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Browns vs. Ravens Total

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Injuries
There was some controversy surrounding CB Joe Haden, who has a broken finger, but was listed as probable and didn't play against San Diego. He might be able to go against the Ravens, and the same goes for WR Brian Hartline, who has bruised ribs and a problem with his thigh.

For the Ravens, TE Crockett Gilmore is questionable with an injured  thigh, while WR Steve Smith Sr. (back) could still play even though he has microfractures. If he can play through the pain, he could be cleared and knowing Smith, that is completely possible. WR Breshad Perriman is still dealing with a knee injury as well as Flacco is losing whatever targets he has.

 

Trends
The Browns have covered the spread in four of their last six games, while Baltimore is 1-3-1 ATS in their last five. At home, the Ravens have covered just once in their last five, while Cleveland has lost their last five SU on the road, but they've covered in three of those games.

Baltimore have dominated the Browns in this head-to-head, winning nine of the last 10 SU, but the two have split those 10 ATS. In Baltimore, it gets even uglier for the Browns, who are 1-9 SU, but they're decent ATS, covering six times.

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