Chiefs vs. Packers Preseason Finale Has No Signs Of Potential High Scoring

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, August 30, 2016 8:52 PM UTC

Tuesday, Aug. 30, 2016 8:52 PM UTC

There's nothing like trying to handicap the last preseason game between any two teams in the NFL because you have no idea if any starters will play. Yet, our capper provides a good NFL Pick for this game.

Packers What To Watch For
No eventual Super Bowl champion has finished with a losing preseason record since 2007 and Green Bay doesn't have to worry about that with a 3-0 mark, one of six teams unbeaten in this preseason. It's the first time in seven years Green Bay is 3-0 in the preseason. That team went 11-5 in the regular season and was second in the NFC North, losing a wild-card game 51-45 to Arizona.

Packers star quarterback Aaron Rodgers made his preseason debut last week in a 21-10 win at San Francisco. He went two series and was 6-for-9 for 60 yards and a touchdown pass to Randall Cobb.  You aren't going to see Rodgers or pretty much  most Packers starters here. We might see backup QB Brett Hundley. He missed the 49ers game with an ankle injury but was back at practice on Monday. But the guy who figures to play the majority of the time under center is undrafted rookie Joe Callahan. He looked good against the 49ers in going 16-for-24 for 167 yards and a TD as Callahan looks to make the team.

In an interesting move, Packers head coach Mike McCarthy is giving up calling the offensive plays in this game and will let offensive coordinator Edgar Bennett, a former Packers running back, handle those duties. McCarthy usually does this in the preseason finale. McCarthy gave up offensive play calling last regular season but took it back after 12 games because the offense was under-performing.

As a quick aside here, the Packers' chances of winning the NFC North could have gotten a major boost on Tuesday. That's because Vikings starting quarterback Teddy Bridgewater went down with what appeared to be a very serious knee/leg injury at practice.  The Vikings ended the practice early and Bridgewater was taken to the hospital in an ambulance. That's potentially huge and all the sportsbooks took the NFC North futures odds to win off the board on Tuesday. The Packers will be clear favorites if Bridgewater is done for the year.

Green Bay is 3-0 ATS on NFL odds this preseason and 0-3 O/U.


Chiefs What To Watch For
Kansas City lost its first two preseason games but then dominated in Chicago last Saturday in a 23-7 victory. Alex Smith led three scoring drives with the first-team offense and was 20-for-30 for 181 yards. The Chiefs outgained the Bears 239-20 in the first  half and had 16 first downs compared to Chicago's two. Smith had more rushing yards in the first half (25) than the Bears had total yards of offense. You aren't going to see many, if any, Chiefs starters here.

In fact, it already has been announced that third-string QB Tyler Bray will start. He has been bothered by a neck injury in camp and is 3-for-9 this preseason for 48 yards. I doubt Bray makes the team because Smith is obviously the starter with new addition Nick Foles as the backup. Foles isn't expected to play Thursday, either. Bray is battling Aaron Murray and rookie Kevin Hogan for the No. 3 job.

The Chiefs put linebacker Justin Houston, the NFL's sacks leader in 2014, on the PUP list on Tuesday, meaning he will miss at least the first six regular-season games as he recovers from knee surgery. Josh Mauga, who entered camp as one of the starting inside linebackers, was placed on season-ending injured reserve. Pro Bowl safety Eric Berry finally signed his franchise tender and practiced for the first time Monday. He's not expected to play vs. Green Bay.

Kansas City is 1-2 ATS on NFL picks this preseason and 1-2 O/U.


Shop & Compare For Live Odds On Green Bay vs. Kansas City Chiefs


Series History
It's the eighth time overall that the Packers and Chiefs will close the preseason against one another. The Packers are 4-3 in that scenario and beat the visiting Chiefs 34-14 in 2014. Rodgers didn't play, and Packers backup QBs Matt Flynn and Scott Tolzien each threw for two touchdowns. Neither is with Green Bay these days. Smith sat out for K.C., and Bray threw for 116 yards and a touchdown on 8-of-15 passing. These teams met at Lambeau Field in Week 3 of last regular season and the Packers won 38-28. Rodgers had his best game of the season in throwing for 333 yards and five touchdowns. Cobb caught seven passes for 91 yards and three scores. Smith threw for 290 yards, a TD and a pick. Jamaal Charles had three rushing touchdowns in a losing effort.

Green Bay hasn't won a game in Kansas City since the 2007 regular season and I don't believe it will do so here, either. Give the points, go 'under.' 

NFL Free Picks: Under 37 -110
Best Line Offered: at JustBet

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