Chiefs vs. Packers Opening Odds Report & Early NFL Picks

Jason Lake

Tuesday, September 22, 2015 7:33 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 22, 2015 7:33 PM UTC

Are the Green Bay Packers the best team in football? Hard to tell, but the football odds say they're good enough to lay 6.5 points to the visiting Kansas City Chiefs.

Best ATS NFL Pick for Tonight's Chiefs vs. Packers

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Jason's 2015 record as of Sept. 21: 11-5 ATS; 0-1 ML (–1.00 units); 4-4 Total


The Green Bay Packers got their revenge. They beat the Seattle Seahawks 27-17 on Sunday Night Football, cashing in as 3.5-point home faves to improve to 2-0 SU and ATS on the new season. Then Aaron Rodgers took a dig at Russell Wilson after the game, telling reporters that “God was a Packer fan” that night. Zing~!

Maybe Rodgers should have been a bit more gracious in victory, because his Packers sure could use some of Wilson's miracle water. RB Eddie Lacy and WR Davante Adams are questionable to face the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football (8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN) after spraining their ankles, and DE Josh Boyd went on injured reserve with a broken ankle and torn ligaments. Green Bay is still a 6.5-point favorite with a total of 48.5 on the NFL odds board as we go to press.


Lacy Underthings
Lacy is the most prominent of the walking wounded, although James Starks did a fine job in relief with 95 yards on 20 carries versus the 'Hawks. X-rays on Lacy's right ankle came up negative, and he was receiving treatment on Monday, but it doesn't look like we'll have any status updates until Thursday. And while Adams was able to play in the second half after hurting his ankle, he wasn't close to 100 percent and might have to sit out this week.

Boyd's absence will be at least a small detriment to Green Bay's run defense. However, the biggest injury news for the Packers concerns RT Byran Bulaga. He missed Week 2 with what originally looked like “just” a sprained MCL, but Bulaga also ended up having surgery on his meniscus and isn't expected back until Week 8. Rodgers will miss Bulaga's pass protection between now and then.


The Arrowhead Leap
All these injuries might be enough to make the Packers fadeworthy in Week 3. Our early consensus reports show 52-percent support for the Chiefs at +7.5 (–140), a line that's still on the board at press time. You can also get the Chiefs at +7 with the standard –110 juice if you shop around. That's definitely the best value of the three lines, at least from a Kansas City perspective.

Putting the Chiefs in your NFL picks might require a leap of faith, though. They had the Denver Broncos in the bag last week, only to lose 31-24 as 3-point home faves when Denver scored two touchdowns in the final minute. QB Alex Smith threw two picks and RB Jamaal Charles coughed up two fumbles to hand the game to the Broncos. Ugly, ugly, ugly. According to Football Outsiders, Smith ended up ranked No. 32 of the 33 quarterbacks who played in Week 2 with –103 Total DYAR. We'll digest those numbers and come back later this week with our picks against the spread and total.

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