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Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs features in our Chiefs vs. Jets SGP
Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs passes the ball to Travis Kelce #87 during the first quarter in the game against the Denver Broncos at Arrowhead Stadium on January 01, 2023 in Kansas City, Missouri. David Eulitt/Getty Images/AFP

In our Chiefs vs. Jets SGP predictions based on the best NFL odds, we expect the New York defense to eventually falter against the might of the Kansas City offense.

The Jets (1-2) are slogging through the season from hell, as their contending roster grapples with the reality of another lost season due to deficiencies at the quarterback position.

It doesn’t project to get any easier on Sunday night as the Chiefs (2-1) roll into MetLife Stadium fresh off of their most complete performance of the season.

Here are our best Chiefs vs. Jets SGP predictions (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Chiefs vs. Jets parlay for SNF

(odds via DraftKings)

  • Chiefs -8.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Travis Kelce anytime touchdown scorer (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Under 41.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Combined odds: +550 via DraftKings

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SGP predictions for Chiefs vs. Jets

Chiefs -8.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐

The Chiefs looked like the most complete version of themselves last weekend, playing effectively on both sides of the ball in a demolition of the Chicago Bears at Arrowhead Stadium. Although I could envision a slow start for Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City offense against a Jets defense that is both talented and motivated, the floodgates are bound to open eventually as Zach Wilson again struggles to move his offense down the field.

Running the ball would seemingly be the only way for New York to attack, but the Chiefs have been solid against the ground game, ranking 11th in the league in limiting rushing yards. Even if the Chiefs don’t hit their typical point total, a double-digit win seems plausible.

The Chiefs are -8.5 with standard -110 odds at both DraftKings and FanDuel.

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Kelce anytime touchdown scorer (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

It’s expected that Travis Kelce’s new friend Taylor Swift will be in attendance once again to root on the Chiefs. We can expect Patrick Mahomes to continue in his role as wingman, aiming to find Kelce for another touchdown.

Even without the silliness of the Swift angle, Kelce is Mahomes’ most prominent red zone target each and every week. The defense knows the ball is going to him, and they usually still can’t stop it. Kelce has caught a touchdown in both of his games played this season.

Kelce’s odds to score in this matchup sit at -145 at FanDuel, while DraftKings has Kelce at -120 to find paydirt.

Under 41.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Under the notion that the Chiefs might not run away with this thing early, we could see a generally low-scoring affair at MetLife Stadium. In two home games this season, the Jets have limited opponents to 15.5 points per game.

Offensively, the Jets have averaged the fewest points per game in the NFL so far this season at 14, and there’s no reason to expect that to change on Sunday night against a Chiefs defense that has arguably performed more consistently than the team’s offense so far this season. Kansas City has allowed just 13.3 points per game, ranking fourth in the NFL in scoring defense.

FanDuel and DraftKings both list the total at 41.5, but DraftKings provides the more favorable odds on the Under by a margin of -110 (DK) to -115 (FD). Because of our inclusion of the game total Under in an SGP with the heavily favored side covering, we get a strong correlation boost to the total parlay odds. DraftKings’ total odds at +550 is the preferred value over the same parlay at FanDuel (+516).

Chiefs-Jets SGP picks made 10/01/2023 at 12:45 p.m. ET.

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