Chicago Bears NFL Futures Odds: Total Season Wins

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Friday, July 8, 2016 8:50 PM GMT

John Fox gears up for his second year with the Bears. Can he lift them above the 7.5 season win total projected by Vegas Bookmakers? Check this NFL Futures Picks!


In his first year at the helm, John Fox led the Bears to a 6-10 SU record. The improvement on the previous season, in which they finished 5-11, was marginal to say the least. Predictably, NFL betting expectations are set rather low for the Bears with season win totals hanging on 7.50 and, crucially, the UNDER favoured at -135 NFL odds. The Over is priced just above Even money, at +105 NFL odds or thereabouts depending on your choice sportsbook.

John Fox has a reputation of turning around teams in his second year as a head coach. That track record of success isn’t being taken stock of in the NFL betting outlook, obviously. One of the main reasons is this perception about the Bears: they’re not that much improved. With that in mind, they don’t stack up well in a division where the omnipresent Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay Packers remain the favourites to win and the emergence of Minnesota Vikings as the NFC North champions loom large. Indeed, the Chicago Bears are the quintessential long shot NFL pick to win the NFC North division at +1200 NFL odds, a price currently trading with bet365, amongst several other reputable bookmakers.

The preamble out of the way, let’s delve right into the NFL schedule and serve up early game-by-game predictions for the Chicago Bears along with win-loss projections. Find out where our bold predictions have the Bears finishing with respect to the 7.5 projected season win total. It’s worth pointing out that the Bears have the second easiest NFL schedule (based on win-loss records of their opponents in 2015) this season, tied with the NY Giants and only marginally tougher than the Green Bay Packers, who have the so-called easiest schedule of the entire NFL field.

Chicago Bears 2016 NFL Schedule Game-by-Game Predictions At A Glance

WEEK

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

HOME/AWAY

A

H

A

H

A

H

A

H

BYE

A

A

H

H

A

H

H

A

TEAM            

HOU

PHI

DAL

DET

IND

JAX

GB

MIN

BYE

TB

NYG

TEN

SF

DET

GB

WAS

MIN

WIN/LOSS

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

L

BYE

W

L

W

W

L

L

L

W

 

Week 1 vs. Houston (away), Sunday, September 11
A road game is never easy especially in the first week of the NFL betting season, but John Fox does come up against his former quarterback understudy Brock Osweiler. Knowledge that will serve him well as he looks to take apart a Houston O-line that has many NFL pundits on the fence. Can we really buy what Brock Osweiler is selling? Assuming he is the starter when all is said and done in preseason. 

Let’s face it, he had the league’s best defence last year behind him as well as a very experienced team and coaching staff that has enjoyed a record of success in the AFC West. Texans play great defence and there is no player more formidable on the D-line than J.J. Watt. This should be a very interesting opener and a real test for the Bears as they begin their bid to defy expectations. It’s likely to be a close game but Cutler hasn’t won a season opener in the last two seasons; last year, they lost to the Bills in OT to kick off their subpar season.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 0-1


Week 2 vs. Philadelphia, Monday, September 19
With the Eagles in transition after Chip Kelly it’s difficult to be sweet on their prospects early on in the season with a new coach and system in place. Typically, it takes time to get the pieces working. That’s advantage to John Fox and the Chicago Bears as they open their season at Soldier Field with a win on Monday Night Football.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 1-1


Week 3 vs. Dallas (away), Sunday, September 25 PT
A second primetime game in as many weeks for the Chicago Bears, not to mention a shortened week and a trek to Dallas. Assuming Tony Romo is healthy and fit (that’s integral to any hopes Dallas have of winning as evidenced last season), the Bears will be in for a tough night one would imagine.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 1-2


Week 4 vs. Detroit, Sunday, October 2
Calvin Johnson was a thorn in their side over his career with the Lions. The Bears, more than any other team, are probably ecstatic about his retirement and the knowledge they won’t have to deal with him wreaking havoc. Could Soldier Field see back-to-back wins for the first time in two seasons? Last term, the Bears put up one measly home win. The last time they won back-to-back games was in 2014 when they beat Minnesota and Tampa Bay, both by the same score 21-13. This should be a must-win game for the Bears, in the context of the division and their prospects.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 2-2


Week 5 vs. Indianapolis (away), Sunday, October 9
Jay Cutler and the Bears descend on Andrew Luck and the Colts in week 5 NFL betting, a clash that is sure to be cornered in Indy’s camp wholeheartedly by odds makers. Luck missed most of last season due to injury. Penning a lucrative new deal the pressure is going to be on him to put up. Neither side’s defence is formidable so this is likely to turn into a shootout between Cutler and Luck. The latter of which is more reliable in such an instance, making the Colts the smarter NFL pick.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 2-3


Week 6 vs. Jacksonville, Sunday, October 16
The Jacksonville Jaguars are due a step forward, otherwise Gus Bradley will be out on his ear and the Jaguars will enter yet another rebuild mode. The Jaguars splurged in free agency, prompting many to talk them up in 2016. Still, old habits die hard. Betting against the Jaguars was profitable more often than not. Then again, so too is betting against the Bears an exercise in profit-making. 

That puts us on the fence with a game that could go either way. Oh, what the hey, we’re giving it to the Bears. Yup, you heard it right. A three-game home winning streak in Chicago. They’ll be having a parade soon.

NFL Picks:  Win
Record 3-3


Week 7 vs. Green Bay (away), Thursday, October 20
Loss. Loss. Loss. Yes, so the Bears stunned the Packers – and the entire football loving world – when they beat the Packers at Lambeau 17-13. To borrow Rodgers’ words (granted of the season prior) R-E-L-A-X! The chances lightning would strike twice at Lambeau is unimaginable on Thursday Primetime Football.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 3-4


Week 8 vs. Minnesota, Monday, October 31
Back-to-back divisional games. Back-to-back Primetime slots. A longer week, but still a recipe for disaster. Well, that might be overly dramatic. Let’s just say a bad patch.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 3-5

Week 9 vs. BYE

 

Week 10 vs. Tampa Bay (away), Sunday, November 13
The Bears won last season in Tampa Bay 28-21. With two weeks to prepare for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and a trip down south in November the Bears might fancy their chances. Lovie Smith is out, a new era begins in Tampa and although Jameis Winston is a talented young prospect entering his second year, it’s still the Bucs.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 4-5


Week 11 vs. NY Giants (away), Sunday, November 20
The curse of back-to-back road games can’t be understated. Then the opponent, a side that has splurged in the offseason to bolster its line up and revamped its coaching staff. Eli Manning and Odell Beckham Jr. are expected to light up in 2016. Cutler and the Bears’ O-line can give the star duo a run for its money. This has the feeling of a shootout that could go either way.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 4-6


Week 12 vs. Tennessee, Sunday, November 27
The Bears return to Soldier Field to welcome Marcus Mariota and the Titans. The Titans are an interesting prospect but in a few years. They’re still in the fledgling stages of rebuilding. Bears should win this game at home.

NFL Picks: Win
Record: 5-6


Week 13 vs. San Francisco, Sunday, December 4
What to expect of Chip Kelly and the Niners is anybody’s guess. Will he boggle it there in his first year? By week 13, the writing is sure to be on the wall but, the problem with such early game-by-game NFL betting previews is short of a crystal ball we have no idea what that might be. The safest bet is to assume the Niners are going through growing pains by now.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 6-6


Week 14 vs. Detroit (away), Sunday, December 11
The Bears haven’t won at Ford Field since 2012. Will they finally do it now that Matthew Stafford is without his beloved Megatron? Possibly. But we’re loathe to make it our official NFL pick at this point in time. Suffice it to say, it’s a tossup but we’re giving it to the Lions, who despite a poor start last season finished with a 6-2 SU record in their last 8 games of the season.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 6-7


Week 15 vs. Green Bay, Sunday, December 18
Loss. Loss. Loss. Packers re-establish the status quo; that is, Cutler and the Bears as Rodgers’ personal punching bag.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 6-8


Week 16 vs. Washington, Sunday, December 24
Where will the Redskins be by week 16 NFL betting? Will they be in a battle with the Cowboys to defend their NFC East title? By the NFL odds, that’s the least likely scenario. Most have the Redskins written off even before week 1 of NFL betting – Redskins are the third-best bet to win the NFC East at +300 NFL odds with bet365.

In any event, Kirk Cousins and the Redskins pull out a rabbit out of the hat here. It’s Soldier Field after all where wins are few and far in between by the hosts in recent memory. Last term, the Bears lost six straight at home after coming off a week 7 Bye. In 2014, the Bears lost their last three home fixtures as well. Indeed, Soldier Field hasn’t seen a home win in December since they beat Dallas Cowboys 45-28 on Monday Night Football on December 9, 2013.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 6-9


Week 17 vs. Minnesota (away), Sunday, January 1
The Bears stunningly avoid the series sweep and defeat the Minnesota Vikings in week 17 NFL betting on the road. Ok. It’s a longshot NFL pick, considering the Vikings are pegged to be a side on the move and headed on an upward trajectory in the NFL, but, what’s a game-by-game prediction piece without an upset to consider?

NFL Picks: Win
Record 7-9

NFL Season Win Total Predictions: If all goes to our plan, the Bears are sat at home come playoffs. There’s incremental improvement in John Fox’s second year but whether it’s enough to take them over the .500 hump remains to be seen. We have the Bears finishing 7-9 SU, which puts them just UNDER the 7.5 season win total projected by bookmakers. 

It’s close enough to that mark and there are several tossups noted above that could lift them OVER 7.5. For our money, we’re sticking to the UNDER 7.5 on our NFL picks, but, we won’t be shocked if they do crack it after all.

NFL Picks: UNDER 7.5 at -135

 

Need Some More NFL Picks? Check Out Our Game-By-Game Breakdown For Betting NY Giants Season Win Totals