Chargers-Broncos Thursday Night Parlay for Your NFL Picks

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, October 23, 2014 2:40 PM GMT

Thursday, Oct. 23, 2014 2:40 PM GMT

It’s almost the halfway point of the season, and with a crazy Week 7 behind us, it’s time to focus on the Week 8 NFL Odds. Tonight’s TNF game should be a really good game, but where should you go with your NFL Picks tonight? I’m here to help with that. 

Spread Play
The NFL odds have the Chargers as big +8 ½ or even +9 underdogs this evening against the Broncos, and even after their loss last week to the Chiefs, the Chargers are a very dangerous team to the Broncos. Denver has not played a passing offense like that of the Chargers in several weeks now. In fact, this will be the best passing offense the Broncos have played this season wince their Week 1 battle with Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts. In that game the Broncos gave up 370 passing yards and barely escaped with a win. Tonight against the Chargers, you have to expect them to give up a ton of passing yards, especially on a short week.

Every team the Broncos have played since Week 1 has been a run heavy team. In fact the five teams other than the Colts that the Broncos have played this season rank 17th, 21st, 29th, 30th and 31st in passing yards per game this season. I could easily see the Chargers hanging in there throughout the game, and keeping this one close enough to cover their NFL odds. It’s going to be close, but some books are even offering the line at +9 right now, which is big enough for me to take a stab at them with the first leg of my parlay.

Thursday Night Football Props for Week 8 NFL Picks

 

Total Play
Tonight’s NFL odds total is a little tougher to handicap, because it’s extremely high at 51 points. We have seen Thursday night become the over cashing bonanza this season, as six of the seven Thursday games have gone over the total. Even though some of those have been because one team smashes the other team, only in Week 2 did week see a Thursday game become defensive. Tonight’s game should be no different than the ones that have come before it, because at 51 points, this total could still fly over. Both of these teams are two of the better passing offenses in the NFL, and both have secondaries that are the weaker parts of their respective defenses. While a blow out is unlikely, a shootout is, and taking the over here and parlaying it with the spread for your NFL picks is great NFL odds value.

The over is 20-8-1 in the Broncos’ last 29 games in October dating back seven or eight seasons, and the over is 11-2 in the Broncos’ last 13 home games versus a team with a winning record. The Chargers on the other hand have cashed the over at 7-3 in their last ten games as road underdogs between +3 ½ and +10, (10-4 in their last 14 games as dogs of the same price range) and the over is 8-3 in their last 11 games following a SU loss.

NFL Pick: 2-tam parlay: Chargers +9.5 & OVER 51 at 5Dimes

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