CFL Week 20 Two-Team Parlay Picks

David Schwab

Thursday, November 6, 2014 9:13 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 6, 2014 9:13 PM UTC

We have reached the final week of the CFL regular season and while five of the six spots for this year’s Grey Cup Playoffs have been claimed, there is still quite a bit on the table resting on the outcome of these final four games. This is especially true in the East where the division title remains up for grabs.

After cashing-in on last week’s CFL two-team parlay, I am looking to enter the playoffs on a strong note with another pair of winners this week. The following is a look at the two CFL picks that come together perfectly for this week’s two-team play based on the CFL odds for the games by 5Dimes.


Game 1
Montreal Alouettes vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Pointspread: Hamilton -3
Total: 45.5 

Betting Overview
Montreal clinched a playoff spot in the East with last week’s 17-14 victory against Toronto as a slight 1.5-point home favorite, but at 9-8 straight-up on the year it still needs to win this game to secure the division title and a first round bye in the playoffs. The Alouettes have all the momentum on their side with an 8-1 SU record in their last nine games and a profitable 7-1-1 record against the spread. They have been riding a defense that has not allowed more than 17 points in its last six contests.

A win on Saturday would give the Tiger-Cats the east title, but a loss coupled with a Toronto win would knock them completely out of the playoffs, so the heat is on. Hamilton has also staged an impressive run down the stretch with six SU wins in their last eight games and a 5-3 record ATS. The total went OVER the closing 43.5-point line in last week’s crucial 34-25 victory over Ottawa as a seven-point road favorite after staying UNDER in eight of the Tiger-Cats previous 10 games.


Betting Trends
The Alouettes are just 3-6 SU in their last nine road games and the total has stayed UNDER in 10 of their last 11 games on the road.

Hamilton is 1-6 ATS in its last seven home games and the total has stayed UNDER in its last five games played at home.

Montreal is 2-4 SU in the last six meetings and on the road against the Tiger-Cats it has lost the last five games SU. The Alouettes have still been the best bet in this matchup lately with a 5-0 record ATS in the last five meetings.


Betting Prediction
I would have to lean towards Montreal for a bet on the side in this East Division showdown, but the stronger play in this one is the UNDER on the total line as points will be hard to come by for both teams this Saturday in Hamilton.

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Game 2
Edmonton Eskimos vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders
Pointspread: Saskatchewan -2 (estimated)
Total: 46 (estimated)

Betting Overview
Edmonton comes into this game with nothing on the line after last week’s 37-3 rout against British Columbia as a 5.5-point home favorite secured home field advantage for the opening playoff game in the West Division. It is still tempting to wager on the Eskimos this week as the most profitable team in the CFL lately. They have a perfect 7-0 record ATS in their last seven games and the total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six outings.

Last week’s bye gave the Roughriders a much needed chance to try and regroup after posting just one SU victory in their last seven games while failing to cover in any of those seven contests. Despite this slide, Saskatchewan had already clinched a spot in the playoffs based upon nine previous SU wins. It does come into this game with some quarterback issues with Mike Reilly listed as doubtful, but Matt Nichols listed as probable.


Betting Trends
The Eskimos are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games on the road and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five road games.

The Roughriders failed to cover in their last five home games and the total has gone OVER in four of their last six games.

Edmonton has won eight of the last 12 meetings SU and it has covered ATS in the last five games between these two West Division rivals. The total in this series has gone OVER in 11 of the last 16 games played in Saskatchewan.


Betting Prediction
Current form and recent betting trends heavily favor Edmonton in this matchup, but I just cannot see the Eskimos playing their starters much past the first half. That could work to give the Roughriders a decent shot to win, but it definitely work to keep scoring down to the point where the total stays UNDER whatever betting odds are set for this game as long as they do not go lower than 44 points.

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