CFL Week 18 Two-Team Parlay Picks

David Schwab

Friday, October 24, 2014 6:38 PM GMT

Friday, Oct. 24, 2014 6:38 PM GMT

Some key division battles with major postseason implications litter the Week 18 regular season schedule in the CFL as teams continue to jockey for position for the start of next month’s Grey Cup Playoffs. Calgary has already clinched the West Division title, but the winner in the East is still anyone’s guess. 

Looking ahead to this week’s slate of games, I have dug deep into the stats and the betting trends to come up with a pair of winners that come together perfectly to form my CFL two-team parlay. The following is a look at my two picks based on the CFL odds for the games by 5Dimes.

 

Game 1                                                                
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Calgary Stampeders
Pointspread: Calgary -10
Total: 46.5 

Betting Overview
Saskatchewan has actually clinched a playoff spot with an overall straight-up record of 9-7, but looks can be deceiving considering that this team has posted just one SU win in its last six games to go along with a costly 0-6 record against the spread. This sudden collapse can easily be traced back to the loss of quarterback Darian Durant, who is out for the rest of the season due to injury. The Roughriders’ offense has scored a grand total of just 52 points in its last four games (all losses both SU and ATS).

Calgary has an opportunity to take its foot off the gas these last three weeks to try and get healthy for a run at a Grey Cup title, but I do not think it will back off in this game with some of its top players. Last week, Bo Levi Mitchell threw for 258 yards and two touchdowns and Jon Cornish racked-up a 160 yards and a score on the ground in 21 rushing attempts in the Stampeders’ 33 -23 victory against Winnipeg as 10-point road favorites.

 

Betting Trends
Saskatchewan has failed to cover in five of six games this season as an underdog and the total has stayed UNDER in nine of its last 13 road games.

Calgary has gone 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games and it is 10-4-1 this season as a favorite. The total has stayed UNDER in 13 of its last 19 games.

The Roughriders are just 1-6 SU in their last seven road games against Calgary and they are 3-10 SU in the last 13 games of this bitter West Division rivalry. The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven meetings.

 

Betting Prediction
Saskatchewan has forgotten how to win and the 13-2 Stampeders have no real motivation to win given their current situation. That being said, these are still professionals getting paid to win games so I am laying the 10 points at home and going with Calgary to post a big win over its West Division rivals that covers the spread.

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Game 2
British Columbia Lions vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Pointspread: BC -6
Total: 45.5

Betting Overview
BC is coming off a bye after pummeling Ottawa 41-3 as a 10-point home favorite, but this followed a three-game losing streak in which the offense only managed to score a total of 47 points. The strength of this team is still a defense that is ranked first in the CFL in average points allowed (18.1).

The Blue Bombers current losing streak reached seven games with last week’s loss to Calgary and they are a costly 1-5-1 ATS during this slide. The offense has been held to 23 points or less in five of the seven games and Winnipeg’s defense been torched for 30 or more points in five of the seven losses as well.

 

Betting Trends
The Lions are 4-2 ATS In their last six road games and the total has stayed UNDER in six of their last seven games on the road.

The Blue Bombers are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six home games and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last six games played at home.

BC has won six of its last seven games against the Blue Bombers SU and it boasts a 6-2 SU mark in its last eight road games in this series. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings including both games this season.

 

Betting Prediction
For your CFL picks you probably cannot go wrong with play on the Lions in this game, but in the back-end of this week’s CFL two-team parlay I am going with the UNDER 45.5 in this game as I doubt either team will score more than 20 points.

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