CFL Week 17 Two-Team Parlay Picks

David Schwab

Tuesday, October 14, 2014 9:00 PM GMT

Tuesday, Oct. 14, 2014 9:00 PM GMT

Blowouts ruled the day in Week 16 of the CFL regular season with three of the four games decided by a healthy double-digit spread. The net result of the games was that Calgary, Edmonton and Saskatchewan all clinched a spot in the postseason out of the West Division, while Toronto, Montreal and Hamilton all stand at 6-8 in the East

Looking ahead to this week’s slate of games, I have dug deep into the stats and the betting trends to come up with a pair of winners that come together perfectly to form my CFL two-team parlay. The following is a look at my two picks based on the CFL betting odds for the games by 5Dimes.

Game 1
Montreal Alouettes vs. Toronto Argonauts
Pointspread: Toronto -4
Total: 52

 

Betting Overview
Montreal is building-up a head of steam in the tight East Division race with three-game winning streak both straight-up and against the spread and it is now 5-1 both SU and ATS in its last six games. The Alouettes’ offense has been able to average 26.7 points per game during this six-game run behind quarterback Jonathan Crompton.

Toronto is also in the midst of a three-game SU winning streak with last week’s 34-33 victory over Hamilton as a four-point home favorite. The Argonauts’ offense is also playing at a very high level behind quarterback Ricky Ray and on the year this unit is averaging 26.8 PPG. The total has now gone OVER in their last four games.

 

Betting Trends
The Alouettes are 5-1 ATS in their last six games and while the total has stayed UNDER in eight of their last nine games on the road, it has gone OVER in three of their last five games overall.

The Argonauts are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and the total has gone OVER in five of their last seven home games.

Montreal has covered ATS in last five road games against the Argonauts and the total has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 10 meetings overall.

 

Betting Prediction
Both these teams have been putting up points in bunches over the course of the last month or so and while Montreal has a clear edge in the recent betting trends in the head-to-head matchup, I am going with the OVER on the total line as my top play in this Saturday’s East Division showdown.

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Game 2
Calgary Stampeders vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Pointspread: Calgary - 9
Total: 49
 

Betting Overview
Calgary is coming off a bye, but with a record of 12-2 SU (10-4 ATS) it was able to clinch a playoff during its week off. This team remains the cream of the crop in the CFL with a potent offensive attack that is averaging 28 points per game to go along with the top-rated defense in the league in average points allowed (18.8).

The Blue Bombers fast start is just a distant memory after last week’s 41-9 loss to Edmonton as nine-point road underdogs extended their current losing streak to six games SU and to five games ATS. Winnipeg’s defense has been torched for 30 points or more in four of six those losses and the offense has only managed to score an average of just 12.3 points over the course of its last four outings.

 

Betting Trends
Calgary comes into this West Division matchup with a 6-1 SU record in its last seven games and a 7-2 mark ATS in its last nine outings. The total has stayed UNDER in 13 of its last 18 games.

Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last five home games and the total has stayed UNDER in four of its last five games played at home.

The Stampeders are 5-0 SU in the last five meetings with a 4-0-1 record ATS. Calgary has won four of the last five meetings in Winnipeg SU and the total has gone OVER in five of its last six road games against the Blue Bombers.

 

Betting Prediction
When making your CFL picks for this week keep in mind these teams are at opposite spectrums of the CFL right now and there is no way that Winnipeg will be able to keep pace with the Stampeders considering just how badly it has been beaten in its last few games. Lay the nine points on the road stick with Calgary all the way in the back-end of this week’s CFL parlay.

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