CFL Week 14 Two-Team Parlay

David Schwab

Thursday, September 25, 2014 8:53 PM GMT

The favorites may have dominated Week 12 of the CFL regular season with a straight-up 4-0 record (3-1 ATS), but it was the underdog’s turn to shake things up last week by covering ATS in all four games.

We now turn our attention to Week 14 of the regular season as the drive towards the Grey Cup Playoffs marches on. I have poured over all the facts, stats and figures for all four matchups on the slate to come up with this week’s CFL Two-Team Parlay based on CFL odds by 5Dimes.

 

Game 1: Montreal Alouettes vs. Ottawa RedBlacks

Free CFL Pick on Pointspread: Montreal -4

Free CFL Pick on the Total: 48.5

Betting Overview
Montreal is coming off its biggest win in quite a while after beating Calgary 31-15 as a seven-point underdog at home. In the process it looks like the Alouettes may have finally found a permanent starter at quarterback in Jonathan Crompton. He has played fairly well in his previous few starts and last week he completed 20-of-28 passes for 220 yards and two scores in the win over the Stampeders.

The expectation level for Ottawa has been pretty low all season long as an expansion team, but they are coming off one of their better performance of the year. The 32 points the RedBlacks scored in a three-point loss to Saskatchewan last week as 11-point road underdogs was their highest total of the year. Henry Burris was able to spread the ball around to seven different players and his favorite target in that game was Marcus Henry with eight receptions for 87 yards.

 

Betting Trends
Alouettes are 6-1 ATS in their last seven East Division games and they are 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall. The total has stayed 'under' in seven of their last eight road games.

The RedBlacks are 3-2 ATS in their last five games after going 1-5 ATS in their first six. The total has stayed 'under' in four of their last five games.

Montreal won its first game against the RedBlacks 20-10 as a five-point home favorite at the end of August and the total stayed under the 45.5-point line.

 

Betting Prediction
Conventional wisdom would tell you to lay the four points on the road with a play on Montreal, but an even better CFL pick is the over 48.5 in this game on the total line. Both of these teams are showing signs of life on offense and their defenses have been more than accommodating to their opponents as far as allowing points on the scoreboard.

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Game 2: Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Edmonton Eskimos

Free CFL Pick on Pointspread: Edmonton -6

Free CFL Pick on the Total: 49.5

 

Betting Overview
The Roughriders have to hope that back-up quarterback Tino Sunseri can continue to develop in the absence of Darian Durant. Last week’s effort in a tight win over Ottawa was a step in the right direction with 260 yards passing and two scores while completing 62.5 percent of his 32 steps. His accuracy was a vast improvement from his 53.8 percent completion rate on the year.

Edmonton’s fast start in which it won seven of its first eight games SU has deteriorated into a 1-3 SU record in its last four games. Two of the losses were to Calgary and last week the Eskimos fell to Hamilton 25-23 while covering as 2.5-point road underdogs. Over this four-game stretch, the defense has allowed an average of 27.5 points per game as opposed to a season average of just 21 PPG.

 

Betting Trends
The Roughriders are 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a SU winning record and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games on the road. The total has stayed 'under' in eight of their last 11 road games.

The Eskimos have gone just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games and they have failed to cover in two of their last five games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has stayed 'under' in four of their last five West Division games.

Saskatchewan faces the Eskimos for the first time this season after failing to cover in five of the previous six meetings. The Roughriders are just 2-6 ATS in its last eight trips to Edmonton and the total has gone 'over' in the last four meetings at Commonwealth Stadium.

 

Betting Prediction
Sunseri definitely looked better in last week’s win, but Saskatchewan is a completely different team without Durant under center. Look for Edmonton’s defense to return to form this week and take full advantage of the situation as the Eskimos post a SU win at home that more than covers the current six-point spread as you place your CFL pick at a sportsbook like 5Dimes.

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