Little if anything has gone right for Winnipeg this season and last Saturday was no exception with a 37-14 loss to Hamilton as a 9.5-point road underdog. It was the Blue Bombers sixth-straight setback and they are now just 1-7 straight-up on the year and buried in the basement of the East Division standings. They have failed to cover the spread in four of their last four games to fall to 3-5 ATS on the year. The total has gone OVER in three of their last five games.
The blame for Winnipeg’s rapid demise this season can be equally shared by an offense that is ranked last in the league in scoring with an average of 20.9 points a game complementing a defense that has given-up the most points in the CFL (247) in the first nine weeks. The Blue Bombers have gone with three different starters at quarterback and each one has proven to be ineffective at moving the ball down the field. The only bright spot has been the running of Chad Simpson, who is ranked third in the league with 552 yards.
At the opposite of the spectrum in this matchup is the top team in the CFL at 7-1 SU (5-3 ATS). Saskatchewan maintained its one-game lead over Calgary in the West after beating Edmonton 30-27 this past Saturday as a 4.5-point favorite on the road. The total went OVER the 52.5-point line after staying UNDER in three of its previous four games. It is 2-1 ATS at home this season and the total has stayed UNDER in two of the three games.
The Roughriders come into this matchup as the highest scoring team in the CFL with an average of 33 points a game and their defense has been the stingiest; holding opposing teams to just 22.1 points a game. Darian Durant is ranked fourth in the league in passing with a total of 1,883 yards, and he leads the CFL in touchdown throws with 17. This offense packs a deadly one-two punch with Kory Sheets leading the way in the running game. He has a league-high 1,058 yards on 175 carries and has found the end zone six times so far this year.
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Winnipeg vs. Saskatchewan Betting Lines and Trends
TopBet’s opening CFL odds line for this inter-division matchup has the Roughriders listed as 14-point home favorites with the total line set at 53.
The Blue Bombers are 3-13 SU in their last 16 road games and the total has stayed UNDER in their last five games on the road.
The Roughriders are 6-2 SU in their last eight games at home and the total has gone OVER in nine of their last 13 games overall.
Head-to-head in this inter-division matchup, Saskatchewan has won nine of the last 10 meetings SU and it is 7-3 ATS. The total has gone OVER in the last three games. This will be the first meeting between the two this year.
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Winnipeg vs. Saskatchewan Free CFL Pick
Do not let the large spread in this game sway you away from some easy money. This is a complete mismatch on paper which will play itself out on the field this Sunday afternoon. Winnipeg’s offense has no chance to keep pace with what has been an unstoppable Roughriders’ scoring machine. The free CFL pick in this contest is clearly with Saskatchewan.
Free CFL Picks: Saskatchewan -14