CFL Picks: Week 1 Matchups Create Profitable Parlay Option

David Schwab

Wednesday, June 24, 2015 1:28 PM GMT

To the excitement of football betting fans everywhere, a new season has started! Every week, I will be breaking down the Canadian Football League odds while releasing my Two-Team Parlay.

Game 1: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Calgary Stampeders

Pointspread: Calgary -7.5

Total Line: 53

Betting Preview
This is a rematch of last season’s Grey Cup Championship Game in which Hamilton came-up just short in a 20-16 loss as a 6.5-point road underdog. It was the Tiger-Cats second straight run to the Grey Cup Final, but they are still looking for that elusive CFL crown. Back at the helm at quarterback is Zack Collaros, who has emerged as one of the bright young stars in this league.

Hamilton went out and added another target in the passing game in Spencer Watt and behind running backs Nic Grigsby and Mossis Madu it also has the ability to move the ball on the ground. There is a concern on defense filling the hole left by the departure of Delvin Breaux, who is now in the NFL.

The Stampeders are not only favored to win their season opener, they have been listed by 5Dimes as +375 favorites to repeat as league champions. This is still probably the most balanced offense in the CFL with Bo Levi Mitchell at quarterback and veteran running back Jon Cornish anchoring the running game.

Calgary is also a force of the other side of the ball with 10 starters back from a defense that was ranked second in the league last season in points allowed. The total stayed UNDER the CFL odds total in four of their last seven home games.

 

Betting Trends
The Tiger-Cats have covered against the spread in their last five road games, but they are just 15-36 ATS in their last 51 season openers. The total has stayed UNDER in 12 of their last 16 games in Week 1.

The Stampeders are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games and they have covered in four of their last five season openers. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games.

Head-to-head in this matchup, Calgary has won the last seven meetings SU, but Hamilton has a 4-2 edge ATS in the last six games. The total has stayed UNDER in the last five games.

 

Betting Prediction
Hamilton has done a good job in the recent past of keeping these inter-division showdowns close, but I am going to lay the 7.5 points in this one with a play on the home-town Stampeders to win and cover.

 

Game 2: Edmonton Eskimos vs. Toronto Argonauts

Pointspread: Edmonton -4.5

Total Line: 49.5

Betting Preview
Edmonton is a +495 second-favorite to win this year’s Grey Cup after coming-up well short against Calgary in last season’s West Final in a 43-18 loss as a 6.5-point road underdog. The Eskimos have all the tools to compete on offense with Mike Reilly at quarterback throwing the ball to Adarius Bowman and handing it off to John White running the ball.

Defensively, Edmonton ended the 2014 regular season ranked first in the CFL in points allowed; giving-up an average of just 18.9 points a game.

The Argonauts slipped out of the CFL Playoffs last season with a straight-up record of 8-10 and the prospect for a quick start out of the gate this season took a hit with quarterback Ricky Ray went back on the shelf while recovering from another shoulder injury.

Toronto will have to rely on Trevor Harris as its starting quarterback in this season opener. It also has to hope that a defense that was ranked sixth in points allowed last season finds a way to tighten things up right out of the gate.

 

Betting Trends
The Eskimos have covered ATS in eight of their last 10 games and they are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games on the road. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven road games.

The Argonauts are just 1-5 ATS in their last six home games and the total has stayed UNDER in 10 of their last 12 season openers.

Edmonton is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings and it has covered in five of its last six road games against Toronto. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings in Toronto.

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Betting Prediction
You never like to give points on the road on opening day, but I like Edmonton’s chances to make a big statement against a Toronto defense that is still suspect with a victory.