This week I have zeroed-in on a couple of CFL favorites that are in excellent position to cover the spread.
I rode both Hamilton in the East and Calgary in the West to a big payday in last week’s CFL two-team parlay as the favorites went 3-1 both straight-up and against the spread in Week 8 of the regular season.
Calgary Stampeders at Saskatchewan Roughriders Odds
The defending 2014 CFL Grey Cup Champs are starting to find their form after covering for the first time all season as favorites in last week’s 48-3 romp against Ottawa as nine-point favorites at home. Bo Levi Mitchell continued to light things up through the air with 243 yards passing and two touchdowns. He is ranked third in the CFL in total passing yards (1,865) and he is completing 64.4 percent of his throws.
The Roughriders crawled into last week’s bye with a SU record of 0-7. They did manage to cover as nine-point road underdogs their last time out in a 30-26 loss to Toronto to move to 1-6 ATS on the year. Losing Darian Durant at quarterback was bad enough, but with Kevin Glenn on the six-week DL, it with be up to Brett Smith to try and stop this current skid.
The Stampeders are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 division games and they are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five road games.
The Roughriders are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games against a team with a SU winning record and they have failed to cover in their last four home games. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last nine games following a bye.
Calgary is 5-2 ATS in its last seven road games against Saskatchewan and the total has gone OVER in six of the last eight meetings.
Normally this would be a tight matchup between two heated division rivals, but the gap between these two teams is as wide as it has been in the past few years. Stick with Calgary to cover as a road favorite to get this week’s CFL two-team parlay headed in the right direction.
CFL Parlay Pick: Calgary -6
Ottawa RedBlacks at Toronto Argonauts Odds
Give the RedBlacks all the credit in the world for their 4-3 start both SU and ATS after winning just two games last season in their first year in the league. Last week they looked like a second-year expansion team in that lopsided loss to Calgary. Ottawa is going to have a hard time avoiding quite a few more losses if it cannot turnaround an offense that is averaging just 19.1 points a game.
Toronto has risen to the top of the East Division with Hamilton at 5-2 both SU and ATS with Trevor Harris leading the way at quarterback for an injured Ricky Ray. Ray could have a tough time getting his job back with Harris leading the CFL in touchdown throws with 16 while being ranked second in total passing yards (1,987). The Argonauts are the second-highest scoring team in the league with an average of 27.6 points a game.
The RedBlacks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven August games and they are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games on the road. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight division games.
The Argonauts are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall. The total has stayed UNDER in their last five games against the East Division.
These two split last season’s series 1-1 both SU and ATS. The home team won and covered each time and the total stayed UNDER in both games.
I see the bottom starting to fall out after Ottawa’s surprising start, while Toronto continues to stay on the pace in the East. It will be a matter of just too much offense in this one as the Argonauts roll at home as one of our CFL picks to lock-up the back-end of this week’s two-team play.
CFL Parlay Pick: Toronto -8.5