CFL Picks: Two-Team Parlay on British Columbia & Toronto ATS

David Schwab

Tuesday, September 22, 2015 6:57 PM GMT

Tuesday, Sep. 22, 2015 6:57 PM GMT

I have once again dug deep into all the facts, stats and betting odds for this week’s CFL matchups to uncover two more solid plays that come together perfectly for my Week 14 CFL Parlay.

The following is a closer look at my two CFL football picks based on betting odds from BetOnline.

 

British Columbia Lions vs. Edmonton Eskimos
BC has just one straight-up win in its last five games, but it continues to find ways to cover as an underdog with a 4-1 record against the spread in five games this season when getting points. Look for rookie quarterback Jonathon Jennings to possibly get the start for an injured John Beck, but the change might actually add a spark to the Lions’ struggling offense that has not scored more than 23 points in four of its last five contests.

You have to worry about a possible letdown this Saturday afternoon in Edmonton following last week’s huge 25-18 victory against Hamilton as a 5.5-point road underdog. The win keeps the Eskimos just one game in back of Calgary in the West Division title race at 8-4 both SU and ATS. Edmonton’s biggest strength this season remains a defense that is holding opponents to an average of just 17.9 points a game.

 

Betting Trends
The Lions are 2-6 SU in their last eight road games and the total has stayed UNDER in nine of their last 13 games on the road.

The Eskimos are 10-1 both SU and ATS in their last 11 home games and they are 8-3 (SU and ATS) in their last 11 games overall. The total has stayed UNDER in 13 of their last 16 games overall.

BC has won 10 of the last 13 games in this division tilt SU and it is 7-3 SU in its last 10 road games against the Eskimos. The total has stayed UNDER in the last five meetings in Edmonton.

 

Betting Prediction
Edmonton is definitely the better team in this matchup, but 12 points is a pretty steep spread to lay against a division opponent who has had some success on the road against the Eskimos in the past. It may be a bit of a reach, but I like the Lions’ chances to cover with the points against an Edmonton team that might get caught looking past this game.

CFL Pick: British Columbia +12 at 5Dimes

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Toronto Argonauts vs. Ottawa RedBlacks
Toronto’s East Division title hopes took a hit with three SU losses including a sweep in a recent home-and-home series against first-place Hamilton, but last week’s bye could be just what it needs to start a late-season push. The Argonauts are 6-5 SU (5-6 ATS) on the year heading into the first game of a new head-to-head series against second-place Ottawa that wraps-up next week in Toronto.

The RedBlacks have easily been the biggest surprise this season with a SU record of 7-4 (8-3 ATS) after winning just two games last season as an expansion team. They bring a three-game winning streak into this game and they have covered in their last four outings. Ottawa got a huge effort from veteran quarterback Henry Burris in last week’s 30-27 shootout against Saskatchewan in which it covered as a 2.5-point road underdog. He threw for 477 yards and two scores while completing 35-of 45 attempts to help pace the win.

 

Betting Trends
The Argonauts have failed to cover ATS in six of their last seven games and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last six games on the road.

The RedBlacks are 5-2 SU with a 6-1 record ATS in their last seven games. The total has gone OVER in five of these seven games.

Toronto won the first meeting this season 30-24. but it could not cover as a nine-point home favorite. The total went OVER the closing 50-point line. Last season the series was evenly split 1-1 both SU and ATS with the home team winning and covering each time. And the total stayed UNDER in both contests.

 

Betting Prediction
There is no denying that Ottawa has been playing some pretty good ball lately, but I like the Argonauts in this situation. They are well rested coming off a bye week, while the RedBlacks had to play in a late start out west on Sunday. That added rest can mean all the difference in the world between two closely matched teams.

CFL Pick: Toronto +2.5 at Bet365

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