CFL Picks: Division Finals Preview & Analysis

David Schwab

Monday, November 16, 2015 8:06 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 16, 2015 8:06 PM UTC

The 2015 CFL Grey Cup Playoffs continue this Sunday with the division finals in both the East and the West. Let's check the CFL odds and look for the perfect winning pick.

Using the betting odds as released by BetOnline, both of these division showdowns present a golden opportunity to add to this season’s CFL winnings with a pair of sports picks that come together perfectly to form another solid parlay play.


Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Ottawa RedBlacks
Hamilton set the pace in the East Division for much of the season with quarterback Zach Collaros under center, but a season-ending injury sent the team into a 2-5 tailspin both straight-up and against the spread over its last seven regular season games. Two of the losses came at the end of the season in back-to-back defeats both SU and ATS to Ottawa. Jeremiah Masoli should get the start at quarterback in the division title matchup, but he may be a short leash if things do not go as planned.

The RedBlacks’ miraculous transformation from a two-win expansion team in 2014 to a 12-6 SU East Division Champion was the top story in the CFL this season. Ottawa wrapped-up its 2015 regular-season campaign with SU four-game winning streak including the two final victories against the Tiger-Cats. Veteran quarterback Henry Burris had a career year with a CFL-high 5,703 passing yards and 26 touchdown throws. During this run he completed 70.9 percent of his 678 attempts.


Game Betting Trends
The Tiger-Cats have covered ATS in four of their last five CFL Playoff games and they are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games played on the road. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five road games.

The RedBlacks have won six of their last eight division games ATS and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games. The total has gone OVER in five of those seven games at home.

Ottawa swept both games in this season’s series both SU and ATS after three SU losses in three games against Hamilton last season. The total has gone OVER in three of these five previous meetings.


Game Prediction
Ottawa had Hamilton’s number in those two late-season’s meetings and I am banking on the RedBlacks getting the job done again to pull off the three-peat against their division rivals both SU and ATS.

CFL Picks: Redblacks -250 ML & -6 at 5Dimes

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Calgary Stampeders at Edmonton Eskimos
The Stampeders made short work of British Columbia in the opening playoff round with a lopsided 35-9 victory as nine-point home favorites this past Sunday. But just like they had the Lions’ number this season in a three-game series sweep, the Eskimos could have theirs after suffering two losses both SU and ATS to their bitter rivals over the last nine weeks of the season. These were Calgary’s only two SU losses since July 24.

The well-rested Eskimos last took the field on Nov. 1 in a 40-22 rout of Montreal as seven-point home favorites. This was their eighth SU win in a row to close-out the regular season. They went 5-3 ATS during that very same stretch. Edmonton scored the third-most points in the regular season with 466, but more importantly was a defense that led the way in points allowed (18.9) over the course of the year.


Game Betting Trends
The Stampeders have failed to cover ATS in seven of their last 11 playoff games, but they are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games on the road. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last nine games against a West Division team.

The Eskimos are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games at home and they are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four home playoff games. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games played inside the division.

Calgary has a 6-1 edge ATS in its last seven road games against Edmonton and the total in this series has stayed UNDER in seven of the last nine meetings between the two.


Game Prediction
This should be another knock-down, drag-out fight between two bitter division rivals, but in the end bank on Edmonton making it three in a row over the Stampeders both SU and ATS.

CFL Picks: Eskimos -135 ML & -2 at TheGreek

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