CFL Picks: Betting Preview & Two Team Parlay for Week 17

David Schwab

Wednesday, October 14, 2015 5:38 PM GMT

Going through the stats, facts and betting trends for this week’s schedule, there are a pair of CFL picks that come together perfectly to keep things going for a hit on another two-team parlay.

Ottawa is coming off a tough loss, but it is still the best turnaround story in the CFL this season and Edmonton is the hottest team in the league following last week’s upset on the road against Calgary. The following is a closer look at my top two Week 17 football picks involving both teams based on CFL odds from 5Dimes.

 

Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. Ottawa RedBlacks
The Blue Bombers are coming off a big 29-26 upset over BC as 5.5-point road underdogs to keep their playoff hopes alive. The last time this offense scored 29 points or more was in Week 1 of the season with a 30-26 win over Saskatchewan. Defensively, Winnipeg is ranked seventh in points allowed; giving-up an average of 28.5 points a game.

Ottawa dropped a 38-35 decision to Toronto its last time out as a one-point road underdog. Going back over its last six games, this offense has averaged 32.7 points a game with the total going OVER in the RedBlacks last four games. On the year, Ottawa is averaging 25.3 points a game, while allowing 26.9 points a game on defense.

 

Betting Trends
The Blue Bombers are 8-13-2 against the spread in their last 23 games and they have failed to cover in four of their last five road games. The total has gone OVER in five of their last six games.

The RedBlacks are 4-1 both Straight-up and ATS in their last five home games and the total has gone OVER in four of those games.

This will be the first meeting in a home-and-home series this season after last year’s series was split 1-1 both SU and ATS with each team winning at home. The total went OVER in both contests.

 

Betting Prediction
It hard to see Winnipeg slowing down the RedBlacks in this matchup, but it still has a chance to keep things close following a decent showing on offense its last time out. Ottawa has a good chance to cover at home, but I am going with the OVER on a total line of 51 as my top pick.

CFL Pick: Over 51.5 at Bookmaker

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British Columbia Lions vs. Edmonton Eskimos
The Lions’ loss last week to Winnipeg cut its lead for the third playoff spot in the West to just half a game. They have only posted one SU win in their last five games to go right along with a 1-4 mark ATS. During this slide, BC has allowed an average of 28.8 points a game including 29 points in a six-point loss to the Eskimos as 12-point road underdogs on Sept. 26.

Edmonton’s big 15-11 win against Calgary in Week 16 as a three-point road underdog has it tied with the Stampeders at 11-4 SU (9-6 ATS) for the top spot in the West. During this current five-game winning streak, the Eskimos have held their opponents to an average of 18.2 points a game and on the year this defense is ranked first in the CFL in total points allowed.

 

Betting Trends
The Lions are 4-2 ATS in their last six games on the road, but they have lost four of their last five road games SU. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games.

The Eskimos are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games including a 10-2 record ATS in 12 home games. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last six games.

BC is 10-4 SU in the last 14 meetings and 6-2 ATS in the last eight games between these two West Division rivals. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings in Edmonton.

 

Betting Prediction
Past trends in this matchup tend to favor BC, but this is one of those times where you have to heavily discount those results. Edmonton brings a ton on momentum into this matchup and it is hard to see the Lions keeping this game closer than 10 points.

CFL Pick: Lions +10 at 5Dimes

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