The Montreal Alouettes and the Edmonton Eskimos clash this Saturday afternoon at Commonwealth Stadium in a matchup that could go a long way towards deciding the final playoff spot in the CFL this season.
It has been a tough season being a quarterback in Montreal. First, longtime veteran Anthony Calvillo went down with a concussion and then Tanner Marsh was lost with a thumb injury. This past Sunday in a 17-12 grinder over Saskatchewan, Josh Neiswander completed 20-of-35 passes for 260 yards and a touchdown to help breath some new life into the 5-8 Alouettes. They now have a two game lead over Edmonton for the sixth and final seed in the postseason.
Montreal has struggled to consistently put points on the board all season long no matter who was taking snaps behind center. It is ranked second to last in the CFL in scoring with an average of 23.2 points a game. Defensively, the Alouettes played extremely well last week, but on the whole, it is still allowing an average of 27.8 points a game, which ranked in the bottom half of the league. They are 7-6 against the spread this season and the total has stayed UNDER in five of their last eight games.
The Eskimos have just three SU wins on the year, but they would still be very much in contention for that final playoff spot with a win on Friday night. They are 2-2 both SU and ATS in their last four games and the total has gone OVER in eight of their last 10 games. Edmonton is just 1-6 SU at home this season and 2-5 ATS with the betting odds total going OVER in four of the seven games.
Mike Reilly has proven to be a duel threat this season at quarterback with 3,165 yards passing and another 539 yards on the ground. He has 21 touchdown throws against 11 interceptions and he has averaged 9.6 yards a carry with his legs. The Eskimos are averaging 24.3 points a game while giving-up an average of 27.9 points on defense, which is the most of any team in the West. The main bright spot has been the continued elevated play of Fred Stamps, who leads the CFL in receiving yards with 1,038.
Montreal vs. Edmonton Betting Lines and Trends
Top Bet has opened Edmonton as a slight one-point home favorite in this inter-division clash with the total set at 48.
The Alouettes are 4-2 ATS in their last six road games, but just 1-4 SU in its last five games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 17 of their last 25 games played away from home.
The Eskimos are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games but they have just three SU victories in their last 17 contests. The total has gone OVER in seven of their last 10 home games.
Head-to-head in this matchup, Montreal has won the last five meetings SU including a 32-27 victory earlier this season as a four-point home favorite. The Alouettes are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings and the total has gone OVER in eight of the last 11 games played in Edmonton.
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Montreal vs. Edmonton Free CFL Pick
It is hard to know what to expect from these two teams other than the fact that they should both be able to put some points on the board, just like they did in the first meeting this year. I would tend to lean towards Montreal as far as a play on the side, but the free CFL pick for this contest is the OVER on the total line.
Free Picks: OVER the Total