CFL 2014 Grey Cup Championship Betting Preview & Picks

David Schwab

Wednesday, November 26, 2014 8:37 PM GMT

Wednesday, Nov. 26, 2014 8:37 PM GMT

The 2014 CFL season comes to a close this Sunday at BC Place in Vancouver when the East Division Champion Hamilton Tiger-Cats tangle with the Calgary Stampeders, out of the West in the league’s annual Grey Cup Championship.

This year’s CFL title tilt is slated to kick things off 6 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on TSN in Canada and ESPN2 in the United States. The Stampeders have been listed as eight-point favorite on CFL odds by BetOnline with the total set at 52.

 

Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Calgary Stampeders
Point-spread: Calgary -8
Total: 52   

                                                                                              

Betting Overview
Last season’s loss in the Grey Cup had a lingering effect on Hamilton in a 2-7 straight-up start (3-6 against the spread). However, much like last season’s startling march to the title game, the Tiger-Cats found their form in the second half that has led to 6-2 record both SU and ATS in their last eight games. The last victory during this run was a 40-24 romp over Montreal in the East Division title game as a three-point favorite at home. The total went OVER the 46.5-point closing line in that game after staying UNDER in seven of the Tiger-Cats previous nine games.

Quarterback Zach Collaros could be the key to a better result in this year’s title game after completing 18-of-27 attempt for 199 yards in the division final. He added another 19 rushing yards on three carries and all told he was the team’s second-leading rusher this season with 328 yards on 57 attempts. Luke Tasker has been his favorite target in the passing game with 72 catches for 937 yards and five touchdowns.

Calgary bowed-out of last season’s CFL playoffs with a stunning 35-13 loss to Saskatchewan in the West Division Final as a five-point home favorite. The Stampeders have been a team on a mission ever since with an overall SU record of 16-3 (13-5-1 ATS) during the regular season. They put an exclamation point on this impressive run with a 43-18 rout of Edmonton in this season’s West Division Finals as 6.5-point favorites at home. Along the way it beat Hamilton twice with a 1-1 mark ATS. The total stayed UNDER in both games.

The Stampeders’ offense averaged a CFL-high 28.4 points a game to complement a defense that held opposing teams to just 19.3 points. The two biggest studs on this team have been Bo Levi Mitchell throwing the ball and Jon Cornish running with it. Mitchell was fifth in the CFL in passing yards with 3,389, but more importantly, he completed 63.3 percent of his 417 attempts. Cornish led the league with 1,082 rushing yards on 139 attempts for an impressive average of 7.8 yards a run.

 

Betting Trends
The Tiger-Cats have covered ATS in their last four games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 games, but it has gone OVER in seven of their last 10 games in the playoffs.

The Stampeders posted an 8-0 record ATS in their last eight games against a team with a SU winning record. Betting on this team in the playoffs has not been all that profitable with a 2-6-1 record ATS in their last nine postseason games.. The total has gone OVER in five of their last six games in the playoffs.

Calgary has won the last six meetings SU, but Hamilton has a slight 3-2 edge ATS in the last six games between the two. The total has stayed UNDER in the last four meetings including both games this season.

 

Betting Prediction
The Tiger-Cats went down this road last season and unfortunately history will repeat itself given the overall dominance of the West Division this season. For your CFL picks keep in mind that Calgary remains a much better all-around team and that will be reflected in the final score with the Stampeders getting the victory both SU and ATS.

CFL Pick: Calgary -7.5 at 5Dimes

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