NFL ATS Predictions - Carolina's Running Game Makes Panthers The Pick At Saints

Joe Gavazzi

Saturday, October 15, 2016 4:18 PM UTC

Saturday, Oct. 15, 2016 4:18 PM UTC

Each week Joe Gavazzi selects an NFL team whom he favors to control the line of scrimmage with the notably better running game that will STEAMROLL the opposition. Here's his NFL pick for week 6.

 Carolina Panthers (-2) vs New Orleans Saints 1:00 ET

It was a rare sub .500 week for selections on this site last week.  Nonetheless, the analyses you have read is now 34-24 ATS for the season, just shy of 60%.  Make sure to read this week’s Article entitled, “Big Boys Bounce Back,” to find out how you can isolate contrary winners on the CFB card for the balance of October. Best of all, enjoy our own Bounce Back Week with the analyses you will read here.

The Panthers are the 6th team who began the season 1-4 SU after participating in the Super Bowl. None of those other 5 teams, the 1987 Giants, the 1999 Falcons, the 1999 Broncos, the 2002 Rams, and the 2004 Panthers made the playoffs.  Carolina knows that only (2) 1-5 SU teams in the history of the league have ever made the playoffs. Like I said, it is desperation time. They certainly will not overlook the 1-3 SU Saints, after New Orleans played them as tough as anybody last year before Carolina escaped with 5 and 3 point victories. 

Allowing 27 PPG and 341 YPG is a long way from their 19/318 numbers of last year. In that regard, they certainly miss CB Josh Norman. On the offensive side of the ball, QB Newton (concussion) remains questionable. In addition, the situational edge accrues to New Orleans as they play with a week of rest compared to Carolina who lost on MNF 17-14 to Tampa Bay this week. But whether it is Newton or Anderson at the controls, the Panthers have clearly the better ground game. They rush for 125/4.5 to New Orleans’ 82/3.6. On defense they allow just 95/3.4 compared to New Orleans’ 122/4.4. The Panthers also have the notably better defense, as even their declining numbers year over year are far better than a New Orleans defense that allows 33/423, remarkably similar to last year. 

The Saints have their own conundrum as they salvaged their season with a 35-34 win at San Diego two weeks ago, despite being outgained 346-275. But even their Super Dome home and the situational advantage is not enough to counteract the better running game and defense of a visitor who figures to play with Super Bowl intensity today.  I invite you to put the NFL ODDS in your favor and join me in my NFL PICK on Carolina this afternoon.

Remember to drop by SBR's list of the best-ranked bonuses, and find out which of the top sportsbooks is offering the top rated sportsbooks.

Free NFL Pick: Carolina Panthers -2.5Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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