Carolina the NFL Pick for Week 10: Unbeaten Panthers Look to Score Big Against Titans

Kevin Stott

Thursday, November 12, 2015 2:51 PM GMT

Thursday, Nov. 12, 2015 2:51 PM GMT

Review the NFL odds as undefeated Carolina Panthers dance with the Tennessee Titans in an inter-conference Week 10 game and only the fifth meeting ever between these two. 

NFL Odds Overview
What: NFL Week 10—Carolina Panthers at Tennessee Titans
Where: LP Field, Nashville, Tennessee
When: Sunday, November 15, 2015
Timeb 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT  [Sunday 18:00]
TV: FOX, Directv 711, NFL RedZone (US)
Weather Forecast: Mostly Sunny skies, 60°, Light Winds ENE 5 mph, 51% Humidity
Current Point Spread Range: Panthers -4 (Pinnacle) to -5½ (Carbonsports.ag)
Current High Total in Marketplace: 43½ (Sportbet.com, BetUS)
Consensus Total in Marketplace: 42½
Current Low Total in Marketplace: 42 (Pinnacle)
Alternate Total: Under 41 +110, Over 41 -150 (Bet365)
Alternate Total: Under 42 +100, Over 42 -133 (Bet365)
Alternate Total: Under 43 -110, Over 43 -110 (Bet365)
Alternate Total: Under 44 -133, Over 44 +100 (Bet365)
Alternate Total: Under 45 -162, Over 45 +120 (Bet365)

 

Current Realities Heading Into This Game
QB Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers (8-0 SU, 6-2 ATS) knocked off the visiting Green Bay Packers, 37-29 at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte on Sunday in Week 9 play, so here against Rookie QB Marcus Mariota and the Tennessee Titans (2-6 SU, 4-4 ATS) at LP Field in Nashville in Week 10, it will be a shift in competition talent and site, but for a team which has now beaten the Seattle Seahawks, Philadelphia Eagles, Indianapolis Colts and now the Packers back-to-back-to-back-to-back, stuffing the Titans this coming Sunday and putting them in the oven to be ready by Thanksgiving should be no problem. The Panthers are off to their best start ever, have won 11 straight Regular Season games and can smell that Home-field advantage in the NFC after the win over Green Bay and the Cardinals having to play in Seattle this weekend. Newton (15/30, 297, TD; 9 rushes, 57 yards, TD), TE Greg Olsen (4 receptions, 66 yards, TD) and RB Jonathan Stewart (20 rushes, 66 yards, 3.3 ypc) all did what they had to on Sunday, but this team just has those three and makes it work like a patchwork quilt, and they are tired. WRs Jerricho Cotchery, Corey Brown, Ted Ginn Jr. and solid Michigan Rookie Devin Funchess actually provide a very nice Receiving Corps and all have stepped up in the absence of the injured Kelvin Benjamin. The Titans are coming off an exciting OT win over the Saints in New Orleans, 34-28 and Rookie QB Marcus Mariota and the Titans have now gone 5-3 Over in Totals while the Panthers (20-9-1 ATS L30 vs. teams with losing record) have gone 5-2-1 Over in their Totals, so that’s a combined 10 Overs and 5 games Under (67%) in all graded games and at least one or two relevant and fresh Trends pointing toward the Over here. Plus, the league itself saw a rash of Overs in Week 9 where the Over/Under tally for the week finished with 8 Overs and 5 Unders (Unders were 8-6 in Week 8). The focus of this particular assignment—the Total, currently sits in relatively wide 1½-point range from 42 (Pinnacle) to 43½ (Sportbet.com, BetUS) in the NFL odds board, so if you want to try a tricky 1-point middle (on 43) and make it your NFL pick...well, good luck. The thought here is that Tennessee (23.4 ppg Allowed, #15 in NFL) is so bad and that Carolina (28.5 ppg Scored, #5 in NFL) has so many weapons who want to show off and prove their worth, that the Panthers could push the 33-37-point mark themselves if they really push it and get a Defensive or Special Teams score on Sunday. Although a very limited series, here are the 5 lifetime Final Scores (all Regular Season) between the Carolina Panthers and the Tennessee Titans (7-22 ATS L29 games on Grass, LP Field).

 

Final Scores in All 4 Meetings in Carolina Panthers-Tennessee Titans Series:
2011—Titans 30 @ Panthers 3 Total—47½ Result—Under
2007—@ Titans 20 Panthers 7 Total—35½ Result—Under
2003—Titans 37 @ Panthers 13 Total—37½ Result—Over (Ericsson Stadium, Charlotte)
1996—Panthers 31 @ Oilers 6 Total—39 Result—Under (by 2 points; Astrodome, Houston) 

 

Recent Relevant Series Trends and Game Expectations
As you can see, these two teams haven’t played enough for the series history to be considered a worthy tool in this handicap, especially with a Total of 35½ and games played in the Astrodome (Houston) and Ericsson Stadium (Charlotte) dating all the way back to a dark period of our history (1996) when the nation (US) was caught in a funky trance and a “song” titled ‘Macarena’ (Bayside Boys Mix) by a “musical group” was the #1 “song” of the year. So, a team named after fossil fuel and a Total Tom Brady and his boys routinely get on Sundays if the Patriots play on Sundays. Anyway, the stupid point here is that Trend (3-1 Unders) is meaningless as is the Titans/Oilers 3-1 SU record against the relatively new Carolina Panthers franchise. Those were actually better Titans teams (and worse Panthers squads), although that’s not saying much in terms of this Tennessee team. When these two teams last played in recent times (as noted above), the Titans won outright as 3-point underdogs in Charlotte, 30-3 in 2011, while in the last meeting here in Opryland, Tennessee also won and covered, getting a 30-7 Win as 5½-point favorites in 2007 when people were wondering why the funk people in 1996 ever listened to the “Macarena.” If you haven’t heard it, don’t, as word has it the song lowers both listeners sperm counts and IQs within an hour. The Titans are 3-1 ATS the L4 meetings in this series, but even after Sunday’s OT win over the Defenseless Saints in New Orleans, Tennessee (8-20-2 ATS L30 Home games) is a poor team with a new Head Coach—the Titans fired Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt and promoted Mike Mularkey to interim Head Coach last Tuesday—which has gone 2-6 this year, and went 3-20 SU and 4-18-1 ATS under now-gone Head Coach Whisenhunt. That’s horrific. With Carolina humming on Offense and the Over 9-2 ATS its L11 on the Road, backing the Over in Nashville on Sunday afternoon is the Totals call here.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Panthers 33 - Titans 17
NFL WEEK 10 TOTALS PICK: Over 42 at Pinnacle

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837130, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here