Cappers Banking on the Niners -7.5 vs. Raiders

Nikki Adams

Tuesday, December 2, 2014 12:07 PM GMT

Tuesday, Dec. 2, 2014 12:07 PM GMT

San Francisco 49ers and Oakland Raiders collide in week 14 NFL betting, in a must-win game for the Niners if they hope to challenge for a playoff berth this season. Find out where the value NFL picks are as we preview this game and analyse the NFL odds.

San Francisco 49ers (7-5 SU, 4-2 away)
San Francisco 49ers' playoff bid hangs in the balance of the outcome of their last four games after stuttering to a 19-3 loss at home to the Seattle Seahawks. The loss thrust the San Francisco 49ers firmly into third place in the highly competitive NFC West, a game behind Seattle and two games behind divisional leaders Arizona.

Fortunately, for Niners and their fans alike, the door hasn't shut on the postseason yet. Arizona dropped a pivotal game in week 13 NFL betting as well. Crucially, the fact it should have been a straightforward game on paper against the hapless Atlanta Falcons calls into question the Cardinals' claim to top spot in the division as well as being one the best in the NFC. Cardinals are 9-3 SU, a record shared by the Eagles and the Packers. The loss to the Falcons takes the shine off their NFL odds, not to mention it could be the beginning of a downward spiral with games against the Chiefs. Rams, Seahawks and Niners left on the schedule. It's worth mentioning, the Niners are still in the conversation matched at +750 NFL odds to win the NFC West, behind favourites Seattle at -110 and Cardinals at +125.

It goes without saying, their fate is in their hands. They must win their remaining games to give themselves the best shot possible. Auspiciously, they have a clash with the one-hit wonders Raiders next up, which is, arguably, a winnable contest for the Niners. Indeed, NFL betting lines opened with the Niners favoured at 7-points but have since been bet up to anywhere from 7.5-to-8-points, depending on your sportsbook of choice.

Oakland Raiders (1-11 SU, 1-5 home)
One week after winning their first game in 16 attempts, the Raiders came crashing back down to earth. St. Louis Rams, in the most singularly lopsided game of week 13 NFL betting, eviscerated the Raiders 52-0. It was the worst defeat in 50 years for the Raiders.

After grabbing the unlikely win from the Chiefs in week 12 NFL betting, the Raiders became the de facto sentimental NFL pick the following week. Many NFL bettors were moved by the emotional outpouring following the win and the glaring enthusiasm of the players on the field when time was called.  Looking ahead to the Rams, who weren't exactly a winning team either, made the Raiders as the 7-point road underdogs the vogue pick to cover. Needless to say the public got burned.

It's hard to imagine how the Raiders would bounce back from such a defeat. What's more, it's hard to image NFL bettors taking another risk on the Raiders this coming week. On the season, the Raiders haven't been impressive at all, struggling from top to bottom. Their woeful offense won't have the answers to a tough Niners defense and Colin Kaepernick, who had his worst outing last week, should bounce back against their passable defense.

NFL Betting Verdict: Niners -7.5 over Raiders
At first glance, this does appear to be a lot of points to be giving Colin Kaepernick and the Niners. They haven't exactly blown the opposition off the field this season. When they've been winning, it's been usually by a handful of points. Only the Rams and the Cowboys were beaten by double-digits this season by the Niners. They are just 6-6 ATS on the season and 4-2 ATS on the road.

The Raiders are also 6-6 ATS on the season but on average they've been losing by 13.4-points per game. At home, they are 2-3 ATS with a 10-point margin of defeat. Now, a huge loss such as they suffered could work both ways – it could so demoralising that they simply fold like a house of cards in the face of the Niners or it could be the catalyst for a gritty performance. Short of a crystal ball, it's impossible to unequivocally say which scenario will emerge on the day. For our money, we're banking on the Niners, who still have a shot at the playoffs, to finally rise to the occasion and play up to their potential.

Free NFL Pick: Niners -7.5 at BetOnline

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