Capper Picks Browns to Cover Over Texans for Week 11 NFL

Joe Catalano

Saturday, November 15, 2014 7:11 PM GMT

Saturday, Nov. 15, 2014 7:11 PM GMT

J.J. Watt is a named commonly mentioned for NFL MVP lately. While that's a bit far-fetched, Watt and the Houston Texans (4-5) desperately need to win in Cleveland this Sunday as they face the Cleveland Browns (6-3). The win would propel the Texans to the .500 mark. See who we're leaning towards as our betting pick in this tight matchup.

Kickoff is set for 1:00 pm ET on Sunday, November 16th in FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland, Ohio. 

5Dimes Sportsbook lists Cleveland as a 3 point NFL odds betting favorite and the total for the game is 40.5.

 

Ryan Mallett's 1st NFL Start
The Cleveland Browns, who are currently in 1st place in AFC North Division and haven't been on top in years, will be facing the unknown in Mallett. Mallett was hoping to take over for Tom Brady in England, but that never happened. Now, he gets a legitimate .500 team with a win and a good defense to work with. Mallett was known for being able to air out the football . This will definitely make receivers DeAndre Hopkins (684 yards, 4 TD's) and Andre Johnson (563 yards, 1 TD) quite happy. Both are very capable receivers and Mallett could have a big day in his first NFL Start.

 

Arian Foster Out
This is crushing news for the Texans and couldn't come at a worse time as Foster is battling a groin injury. Look for running back Alfred Blue to try attempt to step in for Foster. Blue, who has 234 yards on the season rushing with 1 touchdown, is quite capable of being serviceable, but this even reinforces the idea that if Mallett is comfortable in the pocket, expect the passing game to be a big part of the Texans offense.

 

Who Need's "Johnny Football"
The way that Cleveland quarterback Brian Hoyer has led the Browns, Manziel might never take the field as a Cleveland Brown. Hoyer's numbers aren't huge, but wins are all that counts and Hoyer does have the respect of his teammates, coaches, and the fans. 

For the season, Hoyer has passed for 2212 yard with 10 TD and 4 INT. Limiting the turnovers has been key to Hoyer's success and he'll have a tall order in facing the grill of J.J. Watt.

Not only will Hoyer need to play well, but his offensive line will need to be their best. Cleveland is coming off of a convincing 24-3 win over a good Cincinnati Bengals team in the Battle of Ohio. Hoyer didn't throw for any touchdowns while throwing for nearly 200 yards, but the key was that he didn't throw any picks. This week, the Browns welcome back tight end, Jordan Cameron, and that should give their offense a bit of a boost.

The Browns aren't an offensive team with a bunch of big names, but their depth is an asset. Terrance West is coming off of a near 100 yard rushing game against Cincy and he's backed up by Ben Tate and Isaiah Crowell. When one back is having a poor game, another seems to step up. The same thing goes for the passing game as Andrew Hawkins leads the team with 504 yards and 1 TD. Veteran Miles Austin has made some big catches Taylor Gabriel and Jordan Cameron will play a supporting role this week as the Browns want to stay on top.

 

Outcome
Cleveland is coming off of a big win over Houston and the odds makers still don't give them respect against a 4-5 team with Ryan Mallett starting. Take the Browns and lay the 3 points for your NFL picks.

Free NFL Pick: Cleveland -3 at 5Dimes

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