Capper Favors Giants vs. Jags for Week 13 NFL

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, November 25, 2014 1:26 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 25, 2014 1:26 PM UTC

Just because bad NFL teams are meeting later in the season, doesn’t mean there’s no betting value to be found. All you have to do is read on this Giants/Jaguars game to uncover a hidden gem.

Battle of the Brutal
Two struggling teams meet on Sunday in the NFL when the Jaguars host the Giants at EverBank Field in Jacksonville with a slated 1:00 PM ET opening kickoff. According to the NFL betting odds at 5Dimes, the Giants are a 2.5 point favorite, and the posted total is 44.5.

Stop the Bleeding
The New York Giants are coming off a heart breaking 31-28 home loss this past Sunday night versus the Dallas Cowboys. The loss was their 6th in a row, and dropped their record to a disappointing 3-8 on the season. Adding to the misery was the fact they squandered a 21-10 halftime lead, and allowed the Cowboys to score the go ahead touchdown with just 0:33 left in the 4th quarter. However, they were able to cover as a 4.0 point underdog, and that snapped a string of 5 consecutive ATS losses in a row. The Giants have gone over the total in 4 of the last 5-games. They will enter this week having gone a miserable 4-13 in their last 17-games on the road, and have failed to cover in 12 of those 17-contests. Their struggles on the road become even worse when facing a non-division opponent. New York is a dismal 1-9 in the last 10 away games versus non-division foes, and that includes 0-7 SU&ATS as a favorite or underdog of 7.0 or less. The only silver lining for the Giants on the road, they’re 4-3 in the last 7 versus opponents with a losing record.

Franchise Futility
The Jacksonville Jaguars futility doesn’t end with this season’s 1-10 record. This is a franchise that’s gone a pathetic 12-50 in their last 62-games. Jacksonville is a dismal 5-20 ATS in the last 25-games as a non-division underdog of 9.5 or less and that includes 2-11 ATS in the last 13 at home. One of the many things plaguing the Jaguars this season is turnovers. Entering this week, Jacksonville is at a -10 turnover differential. This is an offensively challenged team that’s scored 17-points or less in 9 of their 11-games this season, and averages a pathetic 14.6 points per contest.

Final Analysis
Something has to give between these two teams that have combined to go 4-18 this season. However, the Giants appear to be much closer to turning that around than the Jaguars are. If not for some ill timed interceptions thrown by Eli Manning in the last 2-games, they were in a prime position to beat both the Dallas Cowboys and the San Francisco 49ers. The Jaguars have seen 8 of their 10-losses this season come by 10-points or more.

NFL Betting System
For our NFL pick I sure have to say using this betting system is the safer way to go. Any away favorite or underdog of 3.0 or less, coming off a straight up loss but covered as an underdog, and is playing in game 9 of the season or beyond, has gone 39-8 ATS (82%) since 1992. The away team also went 38-9 straight up in those 47-games.

Free NFL Pick: Giants -2.5 over the Jaguars at 5Dimes

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