Canadian Football Betting: Week 2 Parlay Picks

David Schwab

Tuesday, July 1, 2014 3:10 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 1, 2014 3:10 PM UTC

The 2014 CFL regular season heads into Week 2 after posting a couple of shocking upsets on opening-day weekend. After breaking down all four matchups on this weekend’s schedule, I am ready to release this week’s CFL Two-Team Parlay based on betting odds from 5Dimes.

Game 1: British Columbia Lions vs. Montreal Alouettes

Pointspread: British Columbia -1
Total Line: 51 

Betting Preview
BC came into the new CFL season as one of 5Dimes’ top favorites to win this season’s Grey Cup out of the West Division. You may want to rethink that one after last Saturday’s stunning 27-20 loss as a 7.5-point home favorite to Edmonton. Kevin Glenn was tagged to replace an injured Travis Lulay as the Lions starting quarterback and he got off to a very shaky start with four interceptions. It also did not help that BC’s vaunted ground game was held to 53 yards.

Expectations were running high for Montreal’s retooled offense heading into its season opener against Calgary after going just 8-10 last year. Former Heisman Trophy winner Troy Smith completed just 44 percent of his 41 pass attempts and former NFL Pro Bowl receiver Chad Johnson had two catches for 20 yards. The end result was a dismal 29-8 loss to the Stampeders as eight-point road underdogs.

Betting Trends
The Lions are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games against a team with a losing record, but just 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 road games. The total has gone 'over' in six of their last eight games on the road.

The Alouettes are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a SU loss and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games in the month of July. The total has stayed 'under' in nine of their last 14 games at home.

BC is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 trips to Montreal and it is 22-6 ATS in the last 28 meetings overall. The total has gone 'over' in five of the last seven games between these two, including the last five games played at Percival Molson Stadium.

Betting Prediction
You have to discount recent betting trends a bit this early in the season and rely more on current form. While neither team looked all that sharp in their season opener, BC can easily correct its problems by taking better care of the ball, while Montreal’s issues appear to run a bit deeper. Stick with the Lions minus the one point to come out on top in this one.

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Game 2: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Edmonton Eskimos

Pointspread: Edmonton -2.5
Total Line: 52

Betting Preview
Hamilton made it all the way to the Grey Cup Championship last season, but after getting hammered by Saskatchewan in that game, it started this season in the same fashion with a 31-10 loss to the Roughriders as a 3.5-point road underdog. Part of the blame for this loss can be pinned on new starting quarterback Zach Collaros, who only managed 139 yards passing while losing a fumble and throwing an interception.

The Eskimos had a season to forget in 2013 with the second-worst record in the CFL at 4-14. They appeared to quickly put that disaster in the rear view mirror with last Saturday’s impressive victory over BC. Mike Reilly got the start at quarterback and threw for 229 yards and three touchdowns and Edmonton’s much maligned defense that was torched for an average of 28.8 points a game last year put the clamps on BC in the second half of that game by holding the Lions to just three points.

Betting Trends
The Tiger-Cats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games, but just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall. The total has stayed 'under' in five of their last seven games on the road.

The Eskimos are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games at home and 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a win ATS. The total has gone 'over' in six of their last eight games following a SU win.

The home team in this series has won seven of the last 10 games straight-up and the total has gone 'over' in four of the last five meetings. Hamilton comes into Saturday’s contest with a 13-6 record ATS in the last 19 meetings.

Betting Prediction
Once again I am going to rely heavily on current form to handicap this CFL matchup, which just so happens to weigh heavily in favor of Edmonton. Hamilton is not as bad as it looked in last Sunday’s loss, but starting out a new season with two games on the road out west is a tough test. This game should remain fairly tight well into the fourth quarter, but I like the Eskimos to win and cover the 2.5 points at home.

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