Can Manning & Broncos Cover vs. Chiefs for Sunday's NFL Picks?

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, September 10, 2014 3:56 PM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 10, 2014 3:56 PM UTC

AFC West rivals Denver and Kansas City meet up in Week 2, with Peyton Manning hoping to torment a Chiefs team that was just ripped apart by the Titans last weekend. Who are we leaning towards with our NFL picks this Sunday?

* * U P D A T E * *

There's been considerable movement in the NFL odds throughout the week.

Some books still are offering up 13, but we mostly see 11.5 (and even 11 here and there) out there for the taking now. The total has dropped to 50.5 after starting at 52.

The Broncos are still going to be without Wes Welker, but they've got a relatively clean bill of health other than that. The Chiefs will be boosted by the return of Dwayne Bowe, who was suspended Week 1 and is now eligible to play again.

Looking ahead to Sunday afternoon, we're going to take a chance on Kansas City.

There's no way the Chiefs are really as bad as they looked Week 1. The NFL betting lines may be a little inflated as a result.

As such, let's take all those points and hope Charles and company can make a game of it in Denver in Week 2. This is a divisional game, and Kansas City knows what it'll take to push the Broncos to the limit.

NFL Picks: Chiefs +13

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* * O R I G I N A L * *

The NFL odds may have opened up at 14, but that number has quickly gone down, with some books offering 12.5 and others putting up a spread of 13.

As for the game's total, the current offering is at 51 points at 5Dimes. The Chiefs weren't exactly too successful offensively in Week 1, but we all know what Jamaal Charles is capable of, and the Broncos are going to get theirs. That much we know.

Denver Broncos in 2014-15 Regular Season: 1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS, +7.0 margin of victory

Kansas City Chiefs in 2014-15 Regular Season: 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS, -16.0 margin of victory

The Broncos get the luxury of opening up their season with two straight home games.

In their first, they held on to beat the Colts 31-24, despite a late surge from Indianapolis in the fourth quarter. As a team, Denver totaled 361 yards of offense.

Peyton Manning may have not been at his best in the second half of that win, but he had already done all the damage he needed to do in the first. He ended up with 269 passing yards to go along with three touchdowns, with all three of the scoring plays going to Julius Thomas. Montee Ball logged 67 yards and a touchdown on 23 carries.

While the Broncos were able to notch a win on opening week, the same can't be said for the Chiefs, who were out-classed from the beginning in a 26-10 loss at home to the Titans.

Kansas City's Alex Smith had three interceptions, and Charles was shut down in the loss. The most telling statistic of all: Smith had more running yards (36) than Charles (19), and that simply should never happen. The gameplan has to be better against Denver.

Initial movement on the NFL odds shows the public wasn't ready to give up on Kansas City just yet. After all, the Chiefs did some great things last season and still have a lot of talent on both sides of the ball. What's more, it's unlikely they'll play as poorly as they did Week 1.

Nonetheless, can we really go against Manning and the Broncos at home? They shouldn't have much trouble moving the ball, so we think they could easily covering this huge number.

Find out our preferred NFL pick later on in the week.

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