Can Bettors Really Trust These Quarterbacks With Their NFL Picks?

Doug Upstone

Thursday, August 13, 2015 10:01 PM GMT

When it comes to making NFL picks, we know we can trust Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Peyton Manning, Andrew Luck and Russell Wilson. But how about some of the other starting quarterbacks?

In many cases we have been down the road of surveying the sportsbooks' odds and for sports picks been burned time and again trusting these field generals who only deplete our wagering accounts.

Well, it is a brand new season and hope springs eternal in the National Football League in August, thus lets round up some quarterback and surmise if they are Play On or Play Against material.

 

Jay Cutler
Turned out the Denver Broncos knew what they were doing when they traded Cutler after the 2008 season and for Bears fans it has for the most part been six teeth-gnashing seasons with the former Vanderbilt quarterback.

Long known for his punkish demeanor and some the worst body language of a QB ever, last season he personally accounted for 24 turnovers (18 picks and six of 12 fumbled lost) and is a lightning rod of criticism, with Chicago 25-37-2 ATS over the past four years.

The defense has been as issue the last two years in the Windy City, but Cutler seemingly padded his stats last year, as noted at Elias Sports, when nine of his 28 TD's were when his club was losing by 14 points or more, while nobody else in the NFL had more than six.

New head coach John Fox will try and reel in the 32-year enigma, who is the modern day version of Jeff George and will again struggle to beat the NFL odds.

 

Mathew Stafford
His career path is starting to emulate Cutler's except for being traded. Matthew Stafford like the Bears QB is blessed with a great arm, which he trusts too often and when his mechanics breakdown and he starts throwing side arm, the nose of the ball goes up and passes downfield begin to float without the usual zip.

In Stafford's defense, he has never played behind an even average offensive and the threat of a running game has been lip service, not results. In the past four seasons the Detroit Lions are 26-39-1 ATS and with a weakened defensive line, this places more on Stafford to carry the load and he's averaged almost 17 interceptions a year in the five seasons he has made 10 or more starts. Be careful.

 

Andy Dalton
This is a massive year in the eyes of football handicappers and those closely following the NFL concerning Andy Dalton. With an abundance of injuries, the Cincinnati offense was never allowed to play at its best. On the presumption of better health, Dalton has the chance to prove he's more than just a serviceable field general.

Many of the key defensive players for the Cincinnati Bengals are in their prime or moving away from that area, which is why if this Cincinnati squad wants to reach the Super Bowl and this year or the next are thought to be their best chances.

However, Dalton has seldom come up big when it has counted and there are few indicators he will again despite a decent 35-28-5 ATS mark since he took over as starter in 2011. We are not saying Dalton has a large ego, but he has always overrated his own arm strength especially throwing outside the numbers and his confidence can disappear as quick as a bowl of Cincinnati chili. While not confident in Dalton, he has helped his team cover spreads and deserves a short lease in 2015.

 

Ryan Tannehill
The former Texas A&M wide receiver made great stride last season, with career-highs in touchdowns (27), QB rating (92.8) and had his fewest picks (12). With Miami having last posted a winning record in 2008, with the addition of Ndamukong Suh, anything less than a 10-6 campaign likely means a complete coaching change.

Tannehill has gotten better and smarter each season and should be ready to go to the next level, especially if he can be a little wiser in the pocket and avoid more of the 45 sacks from last year.

The Miami Dolphins are a .500 team against the spread at places like WagerWeb the last three seasons and should have a chance for a winning season if Tannehill and the defense come through.