Bust Your Bookie with Saturday's NFL Picks

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, January 7, 2015 5:52 PM GMT

This weekend features the surviving eight teams in the playoffs and as we peruse the NFL odds. Let’s see if we can catch the odds makers napping and crush The Man with our laser-locked NFL picks!

Swinger's 2014 NFL Record (28-29-2 -27.85 units)
After Saturday’s action I wanted to find the deepest hole, crawl into said hole and hire someone to shovel dirt. Was it really that bad you ask? I submit to you if I ambled into the Octagon and threw down with UFC Light Heavyweight champ Jon “Bones” Jones I probably would have felt better because at least I would have been rendered unconscious.

I buried Pittsburgh like I was reading tomorrow’s newspapers (well, I guess the four units I pissed away on the Steelers NFL odds point spread and money line could have been maximum five unit plays but I digress) and wound up the one being buried. This massacre came hot on the heels of the early game where I targeted the Cardinals for two units and ‘under’ 37 for three units. Nightmare.

Sunday was better only because it would have taken a herculean effort of heinous handicapping to outdo myself from the previous day’s NFL picks. The Colts were my best bet of the weekend and they rewarded me with a total of eight units (four via the ATS cover and four on the money line). The Lions +7 proved to be a two unit winner but then the infamous overturned pass interference call crushed any hopes of covering the ‘over’ 48 in that game which cost me four units. It’s gotta get better, right? “Tell me lies, tell me sweet little lies…”

 

Ravens vs. Patriots (MAX PLAY- TOTAL)
I’m not sure what the Patriots have done recently to justify their status as a touchdown favorite over the increasingly hot Baltimore Ravens. They eked out a 17-16 home victory over the woeful New York Jets in Week 16 and then couldn’t even manage double digits against the Bills in their Week 17 loss to the Buffalo Bills. Yeah, yeah Pats fans, I know they rested key components of their offense and Tom Terrific played only a portion of the game but that offensive line looked downright offensive throughout.

Conversely the Ravens look like they’re peaking at the right time. They have won four of their last five games (but covered the NFL odds in only two of those five) and appear to be cohesive on both sides of the ball. But the oddsmakers are scaring me. What do “they” know and who the hell is this “they” anyway? One thing I do know is the defenses on both teams are making it happen big time. Go low gentlemen – this one’s gonna be a grinder.

NFL Pick: Under 48 (-115) for 5 units

 

Panthers vs. Seahawks
The Seahawks have ripped off six consecutive wins and ATS covers plus have the added benefit of a two week hiatus to lick their wounds. The Panthers, on the other hand have had to fight for their lives after they captured, or should I say took hostage, the NFC South crown. Carolina came alive for two touchdowns in the second half after trailing by a point to the Cardinals and by virtue of their 27-16 victory became the sacrificial lamb in the back-end of Saturday’s NFL doubleheader.

Let’s face it folks. The Arizona offense had no wheels by the time they met Carolina last week and their bend-but-don’t break defense splintered as their pass defense was finally exposed for what it is – lousy. Cam & Company will be tossing early and often after the Seahawks ground-and-pound their way to a sizeable lead and that will lead to either interceptions or plenty of three-and-outs. Advantage: Seattle.

NFL Pick: Seattle -10 (-120) for 4 units at Pinnacle