Bullseye on Your Bookmaker in Swinger’s Week 12 NFL Picks

Bmore Ravens

Swinging Johnson

Friday, November 24, 2017 4:28 PM GMT

Friday, Nov. 24, 2017 4:28 PM GMT

We went 2-1 ATS this past week but are gunning for four covers in our Week 12 NFL picks. Let’s take a look at Sunday’s slate and go for the sweep!

Our top play in Week 11 came out on top as the Bucs defeated the Dolphins 30-20 for four units. Our three-unit picks split as the Redskins stayed close enough to the Saints to cover as nine-point dogs in a 34-31 overtime loss while the Seahawks vanquished our hopes for a sweep by falling 24-7 to the Vikings. All in all, we took 3.7 units from the bookmaker in our NFL picks but that’s not good enough to crawl our way back to the black. Let’s get that sweep on Sunday as we peruse the NFL odds and see what’s good!

 

Bucs (+10) vs. Falcons

I realize the Bucs were handled rather easily by the Saints a few weeks back when they bowed 30-10 down on the bayou. I categorize the Falcons as the Saints’ uglier step-sister. They both rely on offense and both have improved their defenses from last season. But while New Orleans is averaging 30.2 PPG (3rd), the Falcons are producing just 23.1 (12th) points per game. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 19.6 PPG (9th) while Atlanta is a much-improved 13th in that category but still below the Saints, surrendering 21 PPG.

I make these comparisons because the Bucs team that played the Saints two weeks ago had an ailing Jameis Winston under center who was finally put out of his misery in that game, allowing Ryan Fitzpatrick to take over and toss the only TD pass of the day for Tampa Bay. A healthy Ryan Fitzpatrick is a better quarterback than an injured Jameis Winston. The Bucs will face a lesser version of the Saints this week and get a full 10-point head start versus the seven points they got when they faced the Saints. Finally, the Dirty Birds are working on a short week after their win in Seattle on Monday night. Let’s back the Bucs in our NFL picks this Sunday to keep it close.

Free NFL Pick: Bucs +10 (2 Units)Best Line Offered: at Bovada

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Panthers (-5) vs. Jets

After Carolina’s dominating 45-21 win over Miami in their last outing, I’m getting the feeling that the Cats are back. Carolina has won and covered the number over their last three contests and this team finally resembles a contender. Cam Newton donned his cape for the first time in a long while, tossing for four touchdowns, and the rookie Christian McCaffrey found the end zone twice. In addition, the Panthers might be getting Pro Bowlers Greg Olsen and Ryan Kalil back in uniform for this tilt against the Jets. Speaking of the Jets, they have been playing a bit above their heads despite their 4-6 straight up record. Let’s lay the relatively short number on Carolina and watch this talent disparity add up to a double-digit win for the visitors.

Free NFL Pick: Panthers -5 (3 Units)Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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 Broncos vs. Raiders (-4)

The Broncos are terrible this season and their opponents this week, the Oakland Raiders, just got torched by the New England Patriots last week. But Denver’s woes are terminal, at least for this season as they have no quarterback, while the Raiders troubles can be fixed. Not only will Derek Carr take out his frustrations on the Denver defense but Oakland has just gotten a breath of fresh air by hiring a new defensive coordinator in John Pagano. The Raiders are the only team in the league without an interception this season but I believe that streak will end on Sunday and the Raiders will roll.

Free NFL Pick: Raiders -4 (3 Units)Best Line Offered: at BetDSI

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 Texans vs. Ravens (-7)

I’ll take Joe Flacco at home versus Tom Savage on the road any day and twice on Monday. Here we have a bad quarterback with an even worse offensive line against the thuggish Ravens being exhorted by their legions of rabid fans. This may not be a high scoring game as the Texans have a few pretty decent pass rushers on their side of the line starting with Jadeveon Clowney. However, the Ravens should be able to absolutely paralyze the Houston offense which will lead to great field position for the Baltimore offense. Usually, I am reticent about laying a touchdown in what should be a low scoring affair but this could very well be a 17-3 Ravens win where the under and the favorite cover. Back the Flack.

Free NFL Pick: Ravens -7 (2 Units)Best Line Offered: at JustBet

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The Woodman’s Corner (8-3 ATS, +4.7 Units)

The Woodman proved he is indeed mortal after his white-hot winning streak was snapped courtesy of the LA Rams, as they flamed in a 24-7 loss to the Vikings last week. All good things must come to an end but that just opens the door for a new streak to begin. Look at me, little Mr. Positive! Same thing my doctor told me when I went for that test.

Anyway, the Woodman is back and salivating at the thought of atoning for his transgression last week by blessing the Green Bay Packers plus a boatload of points against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Don’t question it – just bet it!

Free NFL Pick: Packers +14Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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