Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs: Free Week 12 NFL Picks

David Lawrence

Friday, November 27, 2015 7:26 PM GMT

Friday, Nov. 27, 2015 7:26 PM GMT

The Chiefs has now won 4 in a row & sit at 5-5, which is the same record as Buffalo, who lost a tough one to New England. The two meet on Sunday in a game that suddenly has playoff implications.

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Open: -6 -105 at Pinnacle
The Chiefs opened as 6-point favorites at home and that is where the NFL odds have stayed so far. Kansas City isn't just beating teams, they're routing them as their last four wins have come by an average of 22.7 points. The defense hasn't allowed more than 13 points during this streak and the Chiefs rank eighth in that category. The Bills gave the Patriots everything they wanted and more in a 20-13 loss on the road, and this is the finale of a three-game road trip for Buffalo; it is also the third in a stretch of five road games in six overall. The Buffalo defense is coming around after a rough patch and they've allowed 20 points or less in three straight games. This should be a smashmouth affair.

 

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Spread

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Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Totals

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Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Money Line

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Injuries
The Bills had QB Tyrod Taylor and DE Marcell Darius limited in Wednesday's practice due to shoulder and knee injuries, respectively, but they should be fine for Sunday. The bigger worries are DE Mario Williams and WR Marcus Easley. Williams has a foot injury and isn't likely to play in Week 12, while Easley has to pass the league's concussion protocol. Watch for those two to see if they make Friday's practice.

For the Chiefs, they have more worries in the backfield as RB Charcandrick West has a hamstring problem and didn't practice on Wednesday. West has been a revelation in the face of the injury to Jamaal Charles, which might mean it's time for Knile Davis to step up. Also, WR De'Anthony Thomas has a concussion and has to pass a few more tests. 

 

Trends
The Bills are 5-4-1 ATS overall this season, but they're 3-1-1 ATS on the road. The Chiefs are 5-5 ATS, and 2-2 ATS at home. The total dropped from 42 to 41.5, and the Chiefs have gone over five times, along with a push. The Bills have also gone over five times this season.

The two have split their last 10 meetings SU since 2002, with the Bills covering the spread seven times. In Kansas City, the Chiefs are 6-4 SU against the Bills, who have covered six times.

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