Buccaneers vs. Chiefs Parlay Picks & Predictions: MNF SGP Odds
It’s been a ho-hum path to 7-0 for the two-time defending Super Bowl champs. Can the banged-up Tampa Bay Buccaneers disrupt the Super Bowl odds favorites' perfect season?
Based on the Monday Night Football odds, our Buccaneers vs. Chiefs MNF parlay doesn’t envision a Tampa win as Patrick Mahomes should shred its pass defense—even under rainy conditions.
Philip Wood analyzes Mahomes' chances of doing exactly that in our Mahomes MNF player props.
The Chiefs host the Buccaneers at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday at 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). The featured parlay is part of our MNF coverage, including the Buccaneers vs. Chiefs prediction and Buccaneers vs Chiefs MNF prop bets.
Buccaneers vs. Chiefs parlay predictions: Monday Night Football
NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Chiefs -9 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Patrick Mahomes Over 249.5 passing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Baker Mayfield Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+129) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Combined odds: +950 via Caesars | Implied probability: 9.52%
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SGP predictions for Buccaneers vs. Chiefs
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Chiefs -9 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Chiefs have been one of the most productive teams in the NFL for bettors this season. As Baker Mayfield will be without Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, I look for that trend to continue against Tampa’s porous defense.
- Kansas City is 5-2 against the spread and 2-1 ATS at Arrowhead this season
- The Bucs allow 26.6 points per game, fifth-most in the NFL
- Two of Tampa’s four losses have come by double-digits
DraftKings and Caesars list this spread at Chiefs -9 while KC backers will pay the hook to -9.5 at the rest of our best NFL betting sites.
Patrick Mahomes Over 249.5 passing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
It’s been an up-and-down year for Mahomes regarding passing volume, but Monday night provides a favorable matchup.
- Mahomes has cleared this passing line only thrice all season, but two of those instances have come in the last three games
- The Bucs allow 255.4 passing yards per game, third-most in the NFL
- Opposing quarterbacks have cleared this passing line in three of Tampa’s past four games, with only rookie Spencer Rattler (243 yards) falling short
Caesars lists the Mahomes passing line at 249.5 yards. DraftKings and FanDuel have it at 250.5.
Baker Mayfield Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+129) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Because of the stout nature of the Chiefs' run defense and the propensity for Mayfield to air it out, his plus-money odds to throw for multiple scores offer excellent value.
- Mayfield has thrown multiple touchdowns in five straight games and has 3+ passing TDs in each of his last four contests
- When Tampa scores, it’s usually through the air; the Bucs have 21 passing touchdowns vs. only six rushing touchdowns
- Only two NFL teams have allowed fewer rushing TDs than Kansas City, which has allowed multiple passing touchdowns in two of its past three games
Although Caesars posts this prop at +129 odds—below DraftKings (+130) and FanDuel (+146)— it offers the best cumulative odds of our best parlay betting sites (+950).
The second-best SGP odds come from FanDuel (+854). A winning $10 wager on this parlay at Caesars would profit $95.00. Mike Spector does a deeper dive on some Mayfield MNF player prop bets.
Buccaneers vs. Chiefs odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Monday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Buccaneers vs. Chiefs
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Mo.)
- How to watch: ESPN/ABC
- Weather: 63 degrees, 30% chance of precipitation, wind 9 mph SE
- Favorite: Chiefs -9 (-110 via DraftKings)
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