Most everywhere we look we find the Rams favored by 5.5 points. St. Louis is in the midst of a 6-8 SU season, while going 6-8 against the spread. As for the Buccaneers, they're 4-10 SU and 6-8 against the number.
The total for Sunday's matchup is either at 42.5 or 43 depending on the sportsbook.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The turnaround for Tampa Bay has been a pleasure to watch, but they were outmatched against San Francisco this past Sunday. The Buccaneers ended up losing 33-14 as 4.5-point underdogs on the NFL odds board.
Coming in, Tampa By had won four of five, with victories over Detroit, Miami, Buffalo and Atlanta. But they had no answer for the 49ers on either side of the ball, getting out-gained 376 to 182 in total yards.
Mike Glennon struggled to move the ball, completing 18-of-34 passes for 179 yards he threw two touchdowns but was picked off once and sacked four times. Vincent Jackson and Tim Wright were the recipients of the TD throws.
The running game was practically non-existent against San Francisco's athletic front seven. Bobby Rainey had 11 attempts for 27 yards, with those struggles certainly not helping open things up for Glennon in the passing game.
Tampa Bay met their match and then some in Week 15, but they should be able to be more competitive with Rams this weekend, even with St. Louis looking mighty tough themselves this past Sunday.
St. Louis Rams
The unpredictable nature of St. Louis' season continued, as they surprised many by beating New Orleans 27-16 at home. The Rams were 6.5-point underdogs.
It was an extremely good performance all-around for St. Louis. Kellen Clemens was 14-of-20 for 158 yards and two touchdowns, caught by Cory Harkey and Lance Kendricks, though the best effort came from Zac Stacy.
Stacy ran with power and good instincts against a much-improved New Orleans defense. He recorded 28 rushes for 133 yards and a touchdown and added a catch for 10 yards in the victory.
With the win, the Rams moved to 3-2 SU and ATS in their previous five matchups. Along with the triumph over New Orleans they got the better of Indianapolis (38-8) and Chicago (42-21), before losing consecutive games to San Francisco (23-13) and Arizona (30-10).
Jeff Fisher will be hoping his team can play that well again this weekend, but they'd be wise not to assume it's going to be a walk in the park. Tampa Bay has looked a heck of a lot better and is playing with a lot more confidence these days.
St. Louis won last season's meeting 28-13 on the road, but much has changed for these teams since then, beginning of course with the starting quarterbacks.
Both teams have been sneaky good recently, so it's rather difficult to decipher where the best NFL pick is for Sunday.
However, when it comes down to it we think taking the points may be the best course of action. The Buccaneers haven't been pushovers at all on the road – they beat Detroit 24-21 and took Seattle down to the wire as well.
At 4-2 SU (and ATS) over their last six, with losses to powerhouses in San Francisco and Carolina, we're picking a cover for Tampa Bay.
Pick: Buccaneers +5.5