Browns 2018 NFL Schedule Betting Breakdown: Will Browns Win One?

Cleveland Browns

Jay Pryce

Tuesday, April 24, 2018 5:12 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 24, 2018 5:12 PM UTC

Cheer up Browns fans. No team has gone winless two years in a row. The NFL, however, has made sure Cleveland will earn its victories, giving the franchise the fifth toughest schedule in 2018.

Below you will find the Browns’ straight-up and against-the-spread records from last year’s NFL regular season, including average margin of victory, 2017 average odds, 2017 win totals and 2018 pre-scheduled figures, and projected strength of schedule using opponents’ combined record from 2017.

2017 SU Record: 0-16 (-11.0 avg. margin)

2017 ATS Record: 4-2 (-4.2 avg. margin)

2017 Average Line: 6.8

2017 Win Total: 4.5 (-180)

2018 Win Total 5Dimes (pre-schedule): 4.5 (-120)

2018 Strength of Schedule: T-5, opponents were 134-122 (.523)

2018-19 Schedule

Three Games to Back ATS

Jets, Week 3

The sample size is small, but it’s one of the few positive betting trends you can find for the Browns under head coach Hue Jackson’s tenure. Since 2016, Cleveland is 3-2 ATS versus teams with shorter than six days rest. Its lone victory in this spot (Chargers, 2016) occurred in one of two games when both teams had equal days off entering. This Thursday night snoozer might be one that snaps the streak.

Chargers, Week 6

As noted in our Chargers preview, San Diego has four 1 p.m. ET kickoffs. These are tough for West Coast teams to adjust to physically and mentally. With Rivers under center, the Chargers are 3-6 SU and 1-7-1 ATS all-time when favored or underdogs by a point in this spot. The offense averages just 18.7 points. Even the Browns can score this many.

@Broncos, Week 15

Denver hosts the Browns in Week 15 after crisscrossing the nation with games at Cincinnati and San Francisco. It will not only be tired, but looking ahead to a pair of divisional dates (Raiders, Chargers) to close out the regular season. A strong running game is kryptonite to the current Broncos defense, and if Cleveland can get the rushing attack going a win is not out of the question. It would be the Browns’ first in the meeting since 1990.

Three Games to Fade ATS

@Raiders, Week 4

Outside of the AFC West, Raiders quarterback Derek Carr is 14-8 SU and 16-5-1 ATS versus the rest of the conference. As betting favorites, they are winning by 9.6 points per game, going 7-0 SU and 6-0-1 ATS. This feels almost destined to be a double-digit victory for the Silver & Black.

@Steelers, Week 8

Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is 21-1 all-time against the Browns. His record against the spread is nearly as impressive when given extra time to prepare—Pittsburgh is coming of its bye week. Check out our Steelers’ schedule and betting breakdown preview for exact figures.

@Texans, Week 13

The Texans are 22-6 SU and 22-5-1 ATS when scoring more than 21 points in a game under head coach Bill O’Brien. The Texans offense exploded for at least 33 in each of Deshaun Watson’s final five games last year before going down with a season-ending knee injury. Cleveland, meanwhile, has surrendered 24 points or more in 14 of 16 road games since 2016.

Trap Game Potential

@Ravens, Week 17

Like Roethlisberger, quarterback Joe Flacco owns the Browns. He is 17-2 SU and 12-7 ATS all-time. Four of the failed covers occurred in six contests with a double-digit line. This game could mean a lot for the Ravens or very little, but if Flacco plays and the spread is in single-digit territory, stay away from the points with Cleveland.

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