Breaking Down the Early Super Bowl 2022 Favorites

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Breaking Down the Early Super Bowl 2022 Favorites
Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs. Photo by Patrick Smith / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / AFP

Although the dust has barely settled on Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ awesome victory in Super Bowl 55, it’s never too early to start looking ahead.

NFL markets are hopping with early Super Bowl 2022 odds as numerous USA betting sites have gone to press already. According to these early projections, the Kansas City Chiefs are the best bet to win Super Bowl 2022 despite getting their comeuppance in their last bid for the Lombardi Trophy.

The Chiefs, two-time AFC Champions and SBLIV champions, were decimated by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a 31-9 loss at Raymond James Stadium on February 7, 2021, and, in turn, denied a second straight championship title.

Oddsmakers, nevertheless, clearly feel that the Chiefs have all the attributes required to bounce back next season. Thus, installing them as the betting favorites for Super Bowl 56, which is set to take place at Los Angeles’ brand new state-of-the-art SoFi Stadium on February 6, 2022 (assuming things go to plan of course).

Per Bovada Sportsbook, the Chiefs are priced as the +450 faves (visit our Bovada Review) – a price tag also available with Heritage and Intertops, to name a few. Others price the Chiefs on slightly better odds, such as BetOnline’s Chiefs +525 odds to win SBLVI (visit our BetOnline Review).

After the Chiefs, the Buccaneers and Packers emerge as the second and third best bet respectively, however, the gap in the odds between the two NFC contenders is quite stark. The defending Super Bowl 55 champions are priced at +650 while the Packers are priced at +1200 (for the purpose of simplicity, the odds quoted are according to Bovada).

Rounding out the top five best bets to win Super Bowl 2022 are the Buffalo Bills, and then the pairing of Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers. The Baltimore Ravens, last season’s vogue NFL pick, falls to sixth overall. While the Houston Texans, a team many had high hopes for in 2020, fall spectacularly out of favor, down to the bottom of the pile (A complete rundown of Super Bowl 2022 odds from Bovada is included below).

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Kansas City’s Top Odds Predictable

It’s no surprise to see the Chiefs at the top of the pile, even though they were dealt a sobering setback in the 31-9 loss to the Buccaneers. Since Patrick Mahomes took over the reins from Alex Smith in 2018, the Chiefs have established themselves as legitimate contenders in the AFC. Over the last two seasons, they’ve been without a doubt the team to beat in the conference.

Could Bucs Go Back-to-Back?

Winning back-to-back Super Bowls is no mean trick, and not since the New England Patriots accomplished the feat in 2004-05 has it been replicated again – not even by the Tom-Brady-inspired Patriots. That said Brady, who won six Super Bowl titles with New England, did the unthinkable in his first season with Tampa Bay. He singlehandedly turned around a team that was by all accounts a laughing stock in the league into a championship-winning team. Prior to Brady’s arrival, the Bucs hadn’t seen playoff action since 2007.

It’s that winning attitude that Brady brings to the table, coupled with his proven track record of success, that makes Tampa Bay a legitimate contender for SBLVI. Though should Brady pull off the feat for a second consecutive season with Tampa Bay, it would be the most incredible achievement by an athlete in any sport. No hyperbole would be sufficient to describe such a happenstance should it actually come about next season.

Aaron Rodgers
Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers. Dylan Buell/Getty Images/AFP

Could the Packers Get Over The Hump?

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have been knocking on Super Bowl’s door for the last two seasons, but both times they’ve come undone in the NFC championship game. The Packers have most of the pieces in place to make another playoff run in the next season, but the pressure is well and truly on. How the Packers approach the 2021 NFL draft and what moves they make in the offseason will largely determine their chances of overcoming their NFL odds to win Super Bowl 2022.

Can Bills Pick Up From Where They Left Off?

Josh Allen and the Bills are coming off a banner season, raising expectations for their 2021-22 campaign. Whether the Bills can pick up from where they left off remains to be seen. They could continue growing from strength to strength, take a page from the Chiefs and go one step further next season to reach Super Bowl 56.

However, a lot of that depends on how well the Chiefs play next season. Recent trends have shown that all roads to Super Bowl go through Kansas City. Josh Allen and the Bills are yet to get the better of the Chiefs in the regular season, never mind the postseason.

Stafford Boosts Rams’ Odds

The blockbuster trade between the Lions and Rams, swapping quarterbacks Matthew Stafford and Jared Goff, has had a positive effect on Los Angeles Rams’ prospects in 2021. That and the fact that their home stadium is set to be the scene of the next Super Bowl. On paper, the Rams strike a formidable pose with Stafford set to take over as the offensive pivot, and the oddsmakers seem to agree.

San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers and head coach Kyle Shanahan stand for the National Anthem. Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images North America/AFP

Niners To Bounce Back in 2021?

One year after finishing runner-up to the Chiefs in SBLIV, the Niners failed to make the playoffs. Injuries were largely their undoing, as Kyle Shanahan had to deal with an incredibly long list of injuries spanning all three facets of the game – from Jimmy Garoppolo, George Kittle, Nick Bosa, Raheem Mostert… and so on.

On paper, the Niners are certainly a team to spot in 2021-22 with an enviable roster that’s brimming with talent on offense and defense. However, there is going to be one noteworthy difference (or absence): defensive coordinator Robert Saleh has left San Francisco to take the head coaching position with the New York Jets. His departure is likely to have a massive impact on the Niners’ formidable defense, which has been one of the main strengths of this team over the last two seasons.

Ravens Sitting Outside Top 5

Odds for the Ravens are understated for Super Bowl 2022, although they’re still considered legitimate contenders. Two consecutive seasons marred by playoff setbacks have taken the shine off of the Ravens in NFL futures betting markets. As well, the improved AFC North field as a whole has had an impact on how Baltimore’s prospects are assessed.

Last season, it was the Steelers that clinched the divisional title. Moreover, the Cleveland Browns make the playoffs for the first time in forever, and the Cincinnati Bengals showed promise with rookie quarterback Joe Burrow at the helm. All told, the Ravens will have their work cut out in the AFC North, never mind the AFC conference.

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Odds for All 32 Teams

Here’s a look at the odds for all 32 teams to win Super Bowl 2022 with Bovada Sportsbook (visit our Bovada Review).

Kansas City Chiefs(+450)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers(+650)
Green Bay Packers(+1200)
Buffalo Bills(+1400)
Los Angeles Rams(+1500)
San Francisco 49ers(+1500)
Baltimore Ravens(+2000)
Cleveland Browns(+2000)
Indianapolis Colts(+2200)
New Orleans Saints(+2500)
Seattle Seahawks(+2500)
Dallas Cowboys(+3000)
Miami Dolphins(+3300)
Pittsburgh Steelers(+3300)
Los Angeles Chargers(+3500)
Tennessee Titans(+3500)
New England Patriots(+4000)
Carolina Panthers(+5000)
Arizona Cardinals(+5500)
Las Vegas Raiders(+5500)
Minnesota Vikings(+6000)
Washington Football Team(+6600)
Atlanta Falcons(+7500)
Chicago Bears(+7500)
Denver Broncos(+7500)
Philadelphia Eagles(+7500)
Cincinnati Bengals(+10000)
New York Giants(+10000)
New York Jets(+10000)
Detroit Lions(+15000)
Houston Texans(+15000)
Jacksonville Jaguars(+15000)