Biggest Week 1 Winners/Losers to Avoid in Week 2 NFL Betting

Nikki Adams

Saturday, September 13, 2014 4:41 PM UTC

Saturday, Sep. 13, 2014 4:41 PM UTC

It’s common knowledge that NFL bettors shouldn’t overreact to the first week’s results. So here’s a look at four games that could be traps waiting to giving NFL bettors headaches in week 2. 

Atlanta Falcons +5.0 vs. Cincinnati Bengals -5.0
Atlanta’s win over New Orleans took a colossal effort by Matt Ryan and the Falcons et al to pull off, not to mention a timely overtime fumble by the Saints and Matt Bryant’s stellar foot. Pundits and experts had all along predicted the Falcons would be better this season – “better” being the operative word; that’s not to say they are destined to do a complete 180 and revert back to their heydays. Falcons opened around the 4-point underdog-mark earlier this week but have been steadily moving up towards 5-points, with some books even offering them as high as +5.5. Buying what they are selling just after week 1 seems premature. It feels like a trap.

Free NFL Pick: Cincinnati -5.0

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Detroit Lions +2.5 vs. Carolina Panthers -2.5
Detroit Lions manhandled the New York Giants in a 35-14 victory, handily cashing out as the 4.5-point favourites. The question NFL bettors are contemplating: Is whether the Lions good or were they only as good as the Giants were bad?

This week they are merely 2.5-point underdogs against the Carolina Panthers, who proved that with or without Cam Newton at centre, their defense is still one of the best this season. Lions are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last 3 road games and they are 0-4 SU & ATS last 4 games against NFC South. Keep in mind the Lions have flattered to deceive the better part of this century.

Free NFL Pick: Panthers -2.5 at Bookmaker

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Chicago Bears +7.0 vs. San Francisco -7.0
San Francisco romped to a convincing victory in Dallas last weekend, but with Dallas committing many errors in the game and practically gift-wrapping the “W,” pundits and experts alike aren’t sold on the Niners entirely just yet. The fiasco that was their preseason, offseason antics and the various players grabbing headlines for all the wrong reasons have clouded perception a touch.

Are the San Francisco 49ers better than the Chicago Bears by more than a touchdown? The resounding answer is, yes. Chicago is a mind-boggling 0-11-1 ATS in games after battling an AFC opponent and they are also 0-8 SU and ATS in its last eight games in San Francisco. On the flipside of the coin, 49ers 6-0-1 ATS last 7 home games against NFC North. What’s more, the Bears failed to come through as the 7-point favourites at home to Bills. Now, they are supposed to cover as the seven-point underdogs?

Free NFL Pick: San Francisco -7.0

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Dallas Cowboys +3.0 vs. Tennessee Titans -3.0
How much stock should NFL bettors put into Tennessee’s win over Kansas City last week, one of the biggest upsets of the week as the Chiefs failed to come through as the 3-point favourites in a 26-10 defeat? WE think it warrants some consideration only because Whisenhunt’s offense looked really convincing.

Titans open the season at home against Dallas Cowboys, who were disembowelled by the Niners. Titans look to backup their opening win at the expense of the Cowboys, who although are a startling 9-0 ATS as an underdog in their last nine AFC tilts sported one of the worst defensive showings in week 1. Against a quality outfit, the Titans might have been hard pressed to come through as the 3-point favourites (a price that has come down since opening at around 4-points). Against the Swiss cheese defense of Dallas, the Titans should prove the savvy NFL pick.

Free NFL Pick: Titans -4.0 

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