Biggest Spreads to Consider for Your Week 2 NFL Picks

Matthew Jordan

Saturday, September 19, 2015 4:01 PM UTC

Saturday, Sep. 19, 2015 4:01 PM UTC

I only previewed two top spreads last week as there weren't many big favorites. I was correct on Green Bay -6.5 at Chicago but missed on Dallas at -6 against the Giants, although the Cowboys won. Here are the Week 2 Pinnacle top NFL odds.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints (-10 in NFL betting)
New Orleans is the first double-digit favorite of 2015 even though the Saints were beaten pretty handily, 31-19, at Arizona last Sunday. The Saints didn't have a lot of trouble moving the ball, putting up 408 yards, but they generally had to settle for field goals. The defense wasn't good at all, allowing 427 yards to an Arizona offense that isn't exactly a powerhouse. The Saints played Week 1 without safety Jairus Byrd and running back C.J. Spiller and both are questionable here. New Orleans QB Drew Brees needs three TD passes to join Peyton Manning (533), Brett Favre (508) and Dan Marino (420) as the only players in NFL history to reach 400 career touchdown passes. Perhaps no team looked worse in Week 1 than Tampa, which was blasted 42-14 at home by the Titans. Jameis Winston threw a pick-six on his first career NFL pass, added another pick, fumbled twice and completed only 48.5 percent of his passes. The Bucs played without excellent second-year receiver Mike Evans due to a hamstring injury and he's questionable here. The Saints swept the Bucs last season, but Tampa easily could have, and perhaps should have, won both.

NFL Pick: Shop around for this line if you want the points -- it's 10.5 at 5Dimes. I will take the points with my NFL picks. Bucs can't be that bad, can they be? Tampa is 5-0 ATS in its past five after an ATS loss. The Saints are 0-5 ATS in their past five at home.

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New York Jets vs. Indianapolis Colts (-7 on NFL odds)
While the Bucs might  have looked the worst of any team in Week 1, the Colts looked the worst of any legitimate Super Bowl contender in their 27-14 loss at Buffalo that wasn't that close at all. Andrew Luck was very shaky, completing 26-for-49 for 243 yards, two TDs and two picks. New additions Frank Gore and Andre Johnson were basically non-factors. And to make matters worse, No. 1 receiver T.Y. Hilton, who led the team with seven catches for 88 yards in the opener, hurt his  knee and is questionable for this Monday night game. The Jets looked great in their debut under head coach Todd Bowles, thumping Cleveland 31-10. Bowles' specialty is defense and that unit dominated, sacking Browns QBs three times and forcing five turnovers. In 2014, the Jets had 20 points off turnovers total. Against the Browns, they had 21 points off turnovers. Two Jets defenders were  hurt in that game, however, and likely miss Monday: cornerback Antonio Cromartie and linebacker Lorenzo Mauldin.

NFL Pick: A return home should cure Indy's offense, although I'd feel better if Hilton played. If you want to give the points, as I do here, I'd shop around. You can find 6.5. Indy is a crazy 18-3 ATS in its past 21 following a loss.

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Baltimore Ravens vs. Oakland Raiders (+6.5 at Sportsbooks)
New coach, same Raiders thus far in 2015. Jack Del Rio's debut didn't go well at all in Week 1 as the Raiders were dominated 33-13 at home by Cincinnati. Oakland had only 246 yards and turned it over twice. Same Raiders. Second-year quarterback Derek Carr left that game in the second quarter with a thumb injury and early this week it looked as if Carr might miss a game or two. But now it appears he will start. If something changes, it will be Matt McGloin. The Ravens perhaps feel a bit better about their 19-13 loss at Denver in Week 1 considering the Broncos won in Kansas City on Thursday night to kick off Week 2. We will find out how much that Ravens defense misses linebacker and pass-rushing star Terrell Suggs, who was lost for the season in Week 1. It's extremely tough for 0-2 teams to make the playoffs, so I expect a high level of intensity for the Ravens. The defense was very good against the Broncos but the offense was the NFL's worst in Week 1. Oakland's defense doesn't compare to Denver's.

NFL Pick: Ravens -- get it before jumps to 7. The Raiders have covered just four of their past 13 at home. 

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