Betting Trends & NFL Picks for Lions vs. Vikings

David Lawrence

Friday, September 18, 2015 5:38 PM GMT

Friday, Sep. 18, 2015 5:38 PM GMT

A pair of 0-1 NFC North rivals meet in Minnesota as Detroit travels to face the Vikings on Sunday. Here’s a rundown for those making their NFL picks.

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Minnesota looked awful offensively in a 20-3 loss in San Francisco on Monday night as quarterback Teddy Bridgewater looked lost and the team didn't know how to use Adrian Peterson in his return. Meanwhile, the Lions were beaten 33-28 in San Diego as they continue an opening to the season in which they have three of four games on the road and they're coming to this game a little banged up after just one week of action.

The NFL odds for this game opened at -3 -110 at Pinnacle for the Vikings and hasn't moved since, and you shouldn't expect any major movements up to kickoff unless there is a noticeable injury. It's a divisional game, which tend to be very tight anyway, and both teams need a win after losing their first game. On the other hand, the moneyline has moved from -150 for the Vikings to -139, so you get to bet a little less to get anything out of them.

 

Injuries
For the Lions, Golden Tate and Haloti Ngata returned to practice, and both played in San Diego, so there was never a major worry. However, Brandon Pettigrew didn't practice on Thursday because of a hamstring and he is questionable (although fellow tight end Eric Ebron is probable with an ankle injury), while DeAndre Levy is doubtful with a quadriceps problem and the Lions might miss him more than anyone. Levy, the middle linebacker, is the heart and soul of the Detroit defense and the Chargers did what they wanted over the middle of the field, which probably wouldn't have happened if Levy was there. He is a player you need to keep your eye on as the clock ticks closer to gametime.

On the Minnesota side, they come into this game with no major injury concerns, outside of their egos after getting dominated by San Francisco on both sides of the ball on Monday night. The public probably won’t be interested in backing them with their NFL picks for now. A bounce-back game is needed from the Vikings in a bad, bad way, especially at home.

 

Trends
The Lions have covered in just one of their last five games overall, and they're 1-6 ATS away from home, while the Vikings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 and they've been great at home, going 4-1 both SU and ATS in their last five. The total of 43, which opened at 44, will be something to watch as well as these two have gone under in 10 of their last 14 meetings.

In their last 10 games, the Lions are 6-4 SU against the Vikings, but 3-6-1 ATS; the push came in a 3-point road win for the Lions in September 2011. In Minnesota, though, the Vikings have dominated with an 8-2 SU record and a 6-2-2 ATS mark.

NFL Pick: Vikings -3 at Bovada

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