Betting Trends to Influence Week 7 NFL Picks

Nikki Adams

Tuesday, October 14, 2014 12:53 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 14, 2014 12:53 PM UTC

As week 7 fast approaches in NFL betting, we stop to look at some glaring NFL betting trends in several matchups that could have an impact on the various outcomes.

Thursday Trends In NFL 2014 Betting
Since the 2014 NFL season got underway, the over has been consistently cashing for NFL bettors on Thursday nights, with the exception of week 2’s clash between the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers that went 26-6 to the Ravens. Indeed, five of the six games went over 50-points with the highest score in week 3’s 56-14 blowout win by the Falcons over the Bucs. Last week, the Colts and Texans lived up to Thursday’s trend by delivering a 33-28 showdown to kick off week 6 NFL betting. By the numbers, the average score through six weeks of NFL betting on Thursday sits at 54.3 points.

Needless to say, NFL bettors should pay particular attention to Thursday’s clash between the Jets and Patriots in total betting. As things currently stand, the total is set to 46-points at 5Dimes, well below Thursday’s average of 54.3 points. What’s more, trend sheet reveals that the over has cashed in four of the last five games between the Jets and Patriots at New England and the over has gone over in six of the last seven Patriots’ home games.


Sunday’s Slate
Several games on Sunday’s slate practically leap off the page as must-see games. Cincinnati Bengals were touted the best team in the NFL after three rounds and a perfect 3-0 start to the season. NFL power rankings even had the Bengals sat lotus atop the pile in the coveted No.1 spot. Fast forward three weeks later and the Bengals have come back down to earth, somewhere between good and average. Bengals take on the Colts in what odds makers are tipping a close affair, on a 3-point spread. However, the Bengals are 2-4 ATS in the last six games when playing on the road against the Colts and they are 1-1 ATS on the road this season. Colts, meanwhile, are riding a four-game winning streak since dropping the first two games on the season. They are 5-1-0 ATS this season with an average margin of victory that sits at a convincing 8.8-points, and they are a staggering 15-5-0 ATS at home since 2012 with an average margin of victory at 4.6 points.

Minnesota Vikings and Buffalo Bills collide in week 7 NFL betting, a matchup that would seem to be skewed towards the hosts if the NFL betting trends are anything to go by. Minnesota are a debilitating 1-10-1 SU in their last 12 road games while the Bills are a modest 11-8-0 ATS at home since 2012.   

Baltimore Ravens boast a 20-5 SU record in their last 25 home games, a home winning trend that augurs well for them when they host the Atlanta Falcons. Adding weight to the Ravens’ favourable NFL odds at home is the Atlanta’s winless streak on the road this season, which stands at 0-3 and extends their road woes to 1-13-0 SU in their last 14 games.

New Orleans Saints are another road dud to spot on your NFL picks this weekend. The Saints travel to Detroit as the 3-point pups, but they boast a 4-9-0 SU record on the road that features a 5.3-point average margin of defeat. What’s more, they are 1-4 ATS overall this season and 0-3 ATS on the road, which extends their road performance against the spread to a league worst 3-10-0 ATS in their last 13 road games.

Finally, the toughest game to handicap in week 7 NFL betting on your NFL picks has to be the clash between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Diego Chargers. Chiefs, who are 2-1 ATS on the road this season, boast a league best 9-3-0 ATS record in their last 12 road games, a positive mark that bodes well for them when they descend on the San Diego Chargers as the 4-point pups. Even more encouraging is the 9-point average margin of victory over the span of the last 12 road games. That said, the San Diego Chargers counter with a 3-0 ATS mark this season, improving to 8-3-0 ATS in their last 11 home games with a 9-point average margin of victory. Something is going to have to give between this pair on Sunday.

So there you have it, some glaring NFL betting trends that should prove useful as you weigh in on week 7’s slate of gridiron action.

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