Betting Totals in Week 14: Get Our Free NFL Picks for All Games

Nikki Adams

Friday, December 11, 2015 1:21 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 11, 2015 1:21 PM UTC

In this space we serve up a complete rundown of all the NFL betting action trading for week 14, with a view towards predicting the totals. Find out where we’re going OVER & UNDER with our NFL picks.

Week 13 NFL Betting Recap
For a third straight week we split out OVER-UNDER NFL picks down the middle, finishing with an 8-8-0 mark in OVER and UNDER betting predictions for week 13. On the season, we’ve finished in the green ten of the thirteen weeks we’ve been providing total NFL picks but we’re sporting a so-so 94-97-1 mark overall in our total picks. On the bright side, our SU picks are 112-80-0 for the season and our ATS picks are 98-89-5 for the season.

This week we’re looking to improve on our total predictions score for the season. So let’s get cracking.


Vikings vs. Cardinals
The Vikings boast one of the league’s lowest OVER records at 2-9-1 ahead of week 14, but last week their run of five UNDERS was snapped by Seattle hanging almost the entire 43-points trading on the NFL odds board in a 38-7 win by the Seahawks. NFL odds makers have responded by installing one of the highest totals on a Vikings game, opening on 45 points. That line has moved up to 46.5-points as consensus betting reveals a distinct lean towards the OVER. To be fair, this could be an overreaction to the way they lost to the Seahawks. That being said, the public might be barking up the right tree. On one hand, the Vikings are decimated by injuries, and they have a short week in which they must overcome those in order to find a way to bounce back. On the road, no less. That’s a tough assignment for any team, never mind the Vikings who are enjoying a stellar 8-4 SU season but remain unproven against the established NFL heavyweights. Consider the Cardinals’ secondary can do as much damage as the Seahawks did. Then there’s Carson Palmer, who is having a banner year and seemingly picking up from where he left off last season. The Vikings will be fired up and desperate to account better than they did against the Seahawks, but things could still get ugly for the Vikings if Carson Palmer and the Cardinals get going.

NFL Picks: OVER 46.5 (-101) at Pinnacle

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Colts vs. Jaguars
The Colts have dominated this rivalry since the Luck Era began and for the most part have enjoyed double-digit victories. Under Hasselbeck, the Colts have been cool, calm and collected, playing poised football which hasn’t necessarily thrilled viewers with a high-octane offense but it has gotten the job done.  Hasselbeck looks like the likely starter in this game so we can expect a solid showing by the Colts in what is sure to be a highly-charged showdown given the high stakes involved as we wind down the season. The Jaguars, however, seem to be finding their rhythm of late. The Jaguars are 8-4 in O/U betting this season which is the third highest over record in the league ahead of week 14. Seven of their last eight games have cracked the 42-point mark, six have gone over 50-points.

NFL Picks: OVER 46 (-110) at Pinnacle

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Steelers vs. Bengals
If the NFL betting lines were any indication – the upward trend that is – this game is expected to be a veritable shootout. Lines opened around the 48-point total but have ballooned to 50 at most sports betting shops. Hardly surprising when the Steelers deposited 45 points against the Colts and the Bengals put up 37 points against the Browns, and the public’s reaction has been to pound the OVER. But those were two sides –the Colts and Browns – are struggling this season. The Bengals are in firm control of the AFC North race while the Steelers are playing for their playoff tush. It stands to reason, that their defenses – which held the aforementioned opponents to 17 points combined – could cancel each other out. Hence, making the UNDER the savvy NFL pick. Yet, we’re of a mind to go with the public here. If this billing lives up to expectations, it could very well crack the high 49-point total.

NFL Picks: OVER 49 (-110) at The Greek

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Redskins vs. Bears
Both the Redskins and Bears are coming off losses in week 13 that highlighted some offensive foibles that are a cause for concern. Indeed, both have eerily similar 5-7 SU marks that include 5-7 OVER records as well. NFL odds opened with a 44 point total on this game that has for the most part stayed put as is, largely down to overwhelming public betting on the UNDER. Obviously, there’s good reason to assume the UNDER is the smart NFL pick here based on recent form of both sides. However, we’re of a mind to go against the public here and lean on the OVER.

NFL Picks: OVER 43.5 (-105) at Heritage

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Lions vs. Rams
The Lions came crashing down to reality in week 13 against the Rams, while the Rams failed to launch against the Cardinals. If there is one glaring problem in this matchup it’s the lack of a viable quarterback in the Rams camp, which probably contributes to the low total on the NFL odds board that is just a fraction above 40 at most sportsbooks. The thing is Matt Stafford and the Lions have been playing really well over the last few weeks and had it not been for the Hail Mary, we might be heaping more praise on them now. Rams might struggle to put up points in this game but the Lions can churn them out.

NFL Picks: OVER 40.5 (-110) at 5Dimes

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Niners vs. Browns
The Niners and Browns collide in week 14 for what is shaping up to be one of the dullest affairs on the NFL betting menu; that is, unless you are a Johnny Manziel fan maybe. Totals are trading at 41-points across the board and consensus betting reveals a distinct lean towards the UNDER. This game could go either way, but the Niners are the better football team in our opinion so we’re hanging our hat on their defense stifling Manziel’s debut as the official starter in Cleveland for the rest of the season.

NFL Picks: UNDER 41 (-110) at Bet365

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Bills vs. Eagles
The Bills are coming off a 30-21 win over the Texans while the Eagles ran away 35-28 winners over New England. Predictably, odds makers roll out a 47-point total for this game on the strength of these preceding accounts. But the Bills and Eagles are anything but consistent this season. Bills are 7-5 in OVER/UNDER betting while the Eagles are 5-7 in OVER/UNDER betting. The public seems to be leaning quite dramatically to the OVER in this game, which presents us with an opportunity to fade the public. The last time the Eagles put up a big win was when they beat Dallas 33-27. Immediately afterwards, they regressed behind a three-game losing streak and the offense struggled to put up more than 19 points.

NFL Picks: UNDER 47 (-110) at Bookmaker

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Chargers vs. Chiefs
The Kansas City Chiefs are in the midst of a resurgence, winning six on the trot and covering all six games as well. Their OVER record for the season is a healthy 7-4-1, which includes hitting the OVER in three of their last five games. In fact, by the numbers they are putting up points in a hurry – they are averaging 33-points per game over their run of six straight wins, including 30-plus accounts in their last three in a row. If those trends hold true, this game should crack the OVER handily at Arrowhead Stadium.

NFL Picks: OVER 45 (-103) at Heritage

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Falcons vs. Panthers
After the shootout the Panthers were sucked in to at the Superdome, it’s not surprising that the game is trading at 46-points or higher depending on your sportsbook of choice. The Panthers also have a league-leading 8-3-1 OVER record that underscores this total outlook. The Falcons though have the league’s worst OVER record of 2-9-1, which includes a run of six straight UNDERS and seven in their last eight games with the lone game pushing. That said none of those featured teams of the same ilk as the Panthers. Plus, the Panthers will be playing at home.

NFL Picks: OVER 46 (-102) at Pinnacle

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Saints vs. Bucs
This has the potential of becoming a let-down spot for the Saints following the shootout with the Panthers at the Superdome. Drew Brees and Saints put up 38-points on the Panthers, but still came out on the losing end of the 41-38 score. It marked the second time in the season the Saints ran up the total on the scoreboard after a 52-49 win over the Giants. Predictably, the total is a staggering 50-plus points. Tampa Bay Buccaneers are finding their stride right now and they’re coming off a 23-19 win over the Falcons. They are playing solid football on both sides of the ball right now. The public is heavy on the OVER with its NFL picks on this game, but we’re going with the UNDER on ours.

NFL Picks: UNDER 51 (-110) at Bookmaker

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Titans vs. Jets
The Jets are sure to be buoyed by their come from behind win over the Giants in week 13, but this game could be trickier than odds makers would have it. Titans finally got into the win column last week, winning a shootout over the Jaguars. NFL betting lines are trading at 43-points or thereabouts for this game, which does appear to be low in the eyes of the public. Overwhelmingly, they’re pounding the OVER in this game. For our money, we’re going with the UNDER on our NFL picks.

NFL Picks: UNDER 43.5 (-110) at BetCRIS

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Seahawks vs. Ravens
The Seahawks offense is finally finding its rhythm and Russell Wilson is playing some exceptional football right now. The way the Seahawks crushed the Vikings in week 13 is notice to the rest of the field not to count out the Seahawks just yet from the playoff picture. The Ravens are decimated by injuries and have nothing left to play for in this game. The NFL odds aren’t yet available so check back for our official NFL pick.

NFL Picks: OTB


Raiders vs. Broncos
The Broncos beat the Raiders 19-13 earlier this season with Peyton Manning at the helm. Now with Brock Osweiler running the offense and calling the shots the public is marking the OVER on their tickets, expecting a more entertaining affair than the previous meeting between these two sides. It’s only Brock’s second home game as a starter, but if his first account at Mile High were any indication --- a 30-24 win over the Patriots, this game could very well deliver another thriller for the fans.

NFL Picks: OVER 43 (-110) at Bookmaker

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Cowboys vs. Packers
So much for the NFC divisional playoff rematch. Tony Romo is out for the rest of the season and the Cowboys have struggled without him offensively for the most part. Let’s not get carried away by the win over the Redskins on MNF. Simply put the Cowboys had no business winning that game and the Redskins should have done more. One could argue, the Packers had no business winning in Detroit either. Until a penalty in the last second of the game allowed the Packers one more play and boy was it something. A Hail Mary for the ages that propelled the Packers back to the top of the NFC North table. In Week 14, we expect Rodgers and the Packers to be buoyed by that season-saving win and ready to heap more misery on the Cowboys.

NFL Picks: OVER 42 (-105) at Heritage

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Patriots vs. Texans
Despite back-to-back losses and the increasing injury woes the Patriots are dealing with, Tom Brady still managed to put up 24 points in a 30-24 loss to the Broncos and 28 points in a 35-28 loss to the Eagles. Texans, meanwhile, are coming off a 30-21 loss to the Bills on the road, which marks their first loss in five games. Overall, both sides have healthy OVER records this season – the Patriots are 7-5-0 in O/U betting while the Texans are 7-4-1.

NFL Picks: OVER 44.5 (-110) at The Greek

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Giants vs. Dolphins
The Giants and Dolphins enjoyed contrasting fortunes in week 13. While the former lost yet another game in inexplicable fashion the latter required a lot of effort to beat the hapless Ravens. Given the unpredictability of both these teams and the inconsistencies on both sides of the ball the game totals appear to be a touch too high in our opinion. What’s more, with the public betting the OVER zealously and driving the totals even higher we’re of a mind to go UNDER with our NFL picks.

NFL Picks: UNDER 47 (-110) at Bovada

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