Betting on Super Surgers/Towel Tossers in Steelers/Titans

Joe Gavazzi

Monday, November 17, 2014 9:28 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 17, 2014 9:28 PM UTC

Before placing your NFL pick on tonight's game between Pittsburgh Steelers & Tennessee Titans, learn the reasons why the "super surgers and towel tosses" is a must play on MNF.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-5-/45) vs. Tennessee Titans 8:40 ET ESPN
A quick look at the AFC standings, finds Tennessee at 2-7 SU and on a 3-game losing streak.  They rolled over nicely for us in their 21-7 loss at Baltimore last week in which they were outrushed 151-67.  It served as our 2014 NFL GOY.  At the other end of the spectrum is a Pittsburgh team, who at 6-4 SU is in a fight for their division life and knows that there are 4 other teams in their conference with 3 or less losses.  That makes this an NFL version of Super Surger vs. Towel Tosser with Pittsburgh bounce back and revenge to add any further motivation necessary. 

It sure looks as if the Titans are playing for next season.  This is a team that is being outscored 25-16 and outgained 369-309.  A hearty portion of that comes at the point of attack, where opponents are running an average of 32 times per game against them for 136 yards, while Tennessee is running just an average of just 23 times a game for 97 RYPG.  Obviously, a poor fundamental indicator for the Titans!  The home field has certainly not been an ally for Tennessee of late.  Dating to last season, they are on a 0-9-1 ATS slide at home, including 0-4 SA this year.  In their last 4 games, they have rushed for just 62/3.1.  LSU rookie QB Mettenberger has started the last 2 games for the Titans. The result is a pair of 14 point losses in which he has a 3/4 ratio and has been sacked 7 times.  There is little to recommend with this young team who has tossed the towel and is building for next year. 

Be sure to check out our free NFL Props for tonight's match.

Tonight’s visiting Pittsburgh Steelers will be hungry for victory.  The offense has been potent this season, averaging 26 PPG on 407 YPG with 6.3 YP play.  Motivation will certainly not be lacking.  For the Steelers remember opening day of 2013, when they lost 16-9 to a more motivated Tennessee team.  Adding fuel to their fire is not only their motivation in the playoff race, but also the performance last week in what I characterized as an obvious flat spot for Pittsburgh (following a 3-0 SU ATS home stand, in which they outscored foes 124-80).  The Steelers fell flat on their face against the 1-8 SU New York Jets.  A closer inspection of that game saw the Steelers with a -4 net TO margin, a number which virtually guarantees an ATS loss.  Their high-flying offense got inside the Jets’ 15 yard line on 3 different occasions and came away with a total of 3 points.  Yet, there is precedence for considering the bounce by Pittsburgh in this game for they are 3-0 SU ATS, following a defeat this year with victories against teams of just this caliber.  That includes a 37-19 victory at Carolina (as -3), a 17-9 victory at Jax (as -6) and 30-23 win vs. Houston (as -4).   Further aiding our fundamental case before placing our NFL picks is the notable advantage that we have at the signal caller spot with veteran QB Roethlisberger vs. a rookie making his 3rd start in QB Mettenberger.

Must feel comfortable laying the manageable number on the road with a Steeler team, who has proven their resiliency and has many motivational, as well as, fundamental edges.

After a split this week, primetime games remain 25-8 OVER, following the Patriots’ high-scoring 42-20 romp of Indy last night.  Adding fuel to our OVER selection is the fact that 3 quality defenders for the Steelers, Taylor, Polamalu and Shazier remain out for the Pittsburgh starting defensive lineup.  

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