Betting Preview & Free NFL Picks for Raiders vs. Browns

David Lawrence

Saturday, September 26, 2015 4:04 PM GMT

Saturday, Sep. 26, 2015 4:04 PM GMT

A pair of 1-1 teams that haven't looked as bad as many predicted coming into the season. Oakland bounced back from a poor loss to Cincinnati by upsetting Baltimore, while Cleveland stumbled against the New York Jets, but looked great against Tennessee. Which versions of these teams will show up on Sunday in Cleveland? One way or another, this game should be very entertaining.

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Open:
-4.5 -110 at Pinnacle
The NFL odds for this game opened at -4.5 for the Browns at home and has since gone down to -3.5, and that might be down to Cleveland's starting QB situation. While Johnny Manziel hit Travis Benjamin with two long touchdown passes, head coach Mike Pettine has decided to go with Josh McCown as his starter this week and it's sure to garner some controversy. You know what you're getting with McCown, while Manziel is still prone to moments of inconsistency, but the talent is definitely there. And if McCown struggles early, you can bet that the leash won't be very long and Manziel will find his way to the huddle.

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Injuries
The Raiders are relatively healthy right now as QB Derek Carr (hand) and S Charles Woodson (shoulder) were both questionable for the Ravens, but both showed up, especially Carr, who was 30-of-46 for 351 yards and three touchdown with no picks. A healthy Carr with time to throw can be a game-changer for the Raiders.

LB Karlos Dansby (hand) was a game-time decision against the Titans, but wound up with a game-high nine tackles, so don't worry about him. Meanwhile, CB Justin Gilbert might be ready to make his 2015 debut as he had an injured hip. However, he has Joe Haden and Tramon Williams in front of him anyway, so that won't be a big deal.

 

Trends
The Raiders have been decent over their last 10 games when you consider that they're the Raiders (not that the Browns are world-beaters), going 4-6 SU and 5-5 ATS, and they're 2-4 ATS in their last six on the road. Cleveland is 3-7 SU in their last 10, but 6-4 ATS, and they're 2-3 ATS in their last 10 at home.

Cleveland is 6-3 SU in nine games against Oakland since 2000, and they're a very good 7-1-1 ATS over that time. The two have played three times in Cleveland, and the Browns have won and covered in all three events.

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