Prop bets can be a viable way to cash early and often in your NFL picks which is why we will take a look at the quarterbacks that have the best chance at cashing for most passing yards at the end of the regular season.
The most exciting play in football is the long bomb launched from behind the line of scrimmage to a streaking receiver who darts into the endzone for six. And it is that very play that the NFL wants to see more of as evidenced by their increased focus on pass interference this preseason. We’ve seen more flags flying during this exhibition season than a ceremony at the UN and the NFL brass contends, privately of course, that scoring translates into ratings. If the present trend continues into the regular season we could be in for more four hour games than we care to watch.
But be that as it may, quarterbacks and their targets will be the beneficiary of all this flag happy mayhem which prompts us to take a peek at the NFL odds on a major prop bet being dealt at virtually all of the major offshore shops. Let’s evaluate which NFL quarterbacks have the best chance at delivering a healthy return on your investment at season’s end.
Drew Brees +250 – Brees is not only a prolific passer but he has plenty of tools in the woodshed to work with as he dissects opposing defenses. We know that Brees has a few tall targets in the long and lanky Marques Colston and Robert Meacham as well as Kenny Stills and the perennial All-Pro Jimmy Graham. But what you might not have factored into the equation is the addition of a 5’10” speed merchant named Brandin Cooks who set records at Oregon State and fits seamlessly into this high octane offense as the Saints’ 20th pick in this year’s draft. In addition, New Orleans has the easiest schedule according to opposition pass defenses based on last season’s stats. Brees might be a chalky play in your NFL picks but he is the most likely to cash assuming he stays healthy.
Peyton Manning +250 – If Manning puts up the kind of numbers he did last season then this entire conversation is a moot point. The question is can he recreate the magic that saw him throw an historic 55 touchdown passes to go along with a mind boggling 5,477 passing yards. But at age 38 can he outgun Brees?
Matthew Stafford +800 – I’m not greedy. I will happily take 8-1 on my money and those odds look rather enticing when it comes to the Lions’ signal caller. Stafford ranked third in passing yards last season and I see big things for him this year with a new head coach who won’t mind letting Stafford call audibles at the line and exploit defensive weaknesses. Oh, and if all else fails there’s always Calvin Johnson.
Aaron Rodgers +1000 – The second preseason game against the Rams may tell us a great deal about what to expect from Aaron Rodgers and his offense this season. Rodgers averaged 2.36 seconds per release and the quick dump-offs to his release valves proved to rivet a powerless Rams pass defense. This new look no-huddle offense could put Rodgers at the top of the pack.
Matt Ryan +1400 – Matty Ice and the entire Falcons team have much to prove after a disastrous 2013 campaign. Despite that Ryan amassed 4,515 yards good for fourth in the NFL last season. A healthy Roddy White and Julio Jones give Ryan decent appeal in your NFL odds this season.
Tom Brady +1800 – Randy Moss won’t be walking through that door and onto the field anytime soon but Brady is lethal even without his former record setting receiver. Rob Gronkowski is looking healthier by the day and the twin terrors of Julian Edelman and Danny Amendola (if he stays healthy) can be nothing but good news for Brady and his backers.
Andrew Luck +2000 – He is the new breed, the heir apparent to the likes of Manning, Brees, Rodgers and Brady. Luck has looked effortless in the preseason and could have a breakout year if his offensive coordinator takes a more aggressive approach and the newly arrived Hakeem Nicks opens up the field. You could get lucky with Andrew this season at NFL odds of 20-1.