Betting NFL Preseason Week 1: ATS Underdog Seahawks To Fly by Kansas City

Seahawks vs. Chiefs Week1 NFLX

Doug Upstone

Friday, August 12, 2016 6:25 PM UTC

Friday, Aug. 12, 2016 6:25 PM UTC

To the best of our knowledge, no sticky fields will cancel games in the now official start of the opening week of the NFL preseason. On Saturday, a matchup of two former AFC division partners.

It is easy to forget Seattle and Kansas City used to be in the same division from 1977 to 2001. Now they meet every three or so in the preseason and oddly enough, this is the fourth consecutive time it will be at Arrowhead Stadium.

What should you expect for NFL picks from these two clubs, let's look further inside from a professional football handicapper who is 78-53 ATS (59.5%) in the preseason since 2003.


Seahawks Sightings 
Seattle arrives in 2016 looking to put together a cohesive offensive line from the start of the season, not something thrown together we find most years that improves late. This is especially true for pass protection where Russell Wilson has among the most hits of any quarterback dropping back to pass since 2012.

The Seahawks want to return to Super Bowl level team, but have to catch Arizona first in the NFC West to be considered legit.

It is a given the Seattle defense will be strong, just not quite as dominating as the Super Bowl years.

You are going to read quite a bit about the Seahawks desperately needing a backup QB, with rookie Trevone Boykin the key. However, Pete Carroll is a run-first coach and will depend on that method to protect his young quarterback and their system is really designed to utilize Boykin's talents.


Chiefs Communique 
Coming off an 11-5 season, in which they lost 27-20 in the conference semi-finals to New England 27-20 as six-point road underdogs, Kansas City is ready to take the next step and win the AFC West.

Coach Andy Reid thinks that growth can come with quarterback Alex Smith having complete season with receivers and further developing the running game, which is a priority of the preseason. Though nobody expects the Chiefs to match last year's incredible 11-game winning streak after 1-5 start, the depth is in place and greater familiarity as a group to go along with a first-rate defense.

The addition of Nick Foles is huge plus for K.C. with three other quarterbacks in camp (Tyler Bray, Aaron Murray and Kevin Hogan) who have never played an NFL down in the regular season.

Reid takes a different approach this time of year, which anyone following the NFL odds has to know.


Odds and What to Look For
Intertops has Kansas City as three-point home favorite with total of 36.5. The biggest difference to me in this matchup is the approach of the coaches. Pete Carroll wants to win every game he is coaching. Andy Reid dating back to his Philadelphia days never concerns himself with that way of thinking and for proof is 4-13 ATS as a home favorite of three points or less. Reid worries about preparation in August, not winning.

This line of thinking as perpetuated the Kansas City organization for years, which is why they are 16-39 ATS in all NFLX games when the line is +3 to -3 the past 22 years.

NFL Free Play: Seahawks +3
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle Sports 

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