We are down to the last quarter of the season for betting the NFL. It is time to focus on games in which they matter to the teams and ignore contests where both clubs are playing out the season. Here are the Week 14 parlay picks.
Parlays continue to grow in popularity each and every season and we will bring you three different choices, all designed to help you win and avoid those 10-teamers, in which you hit nine of them and still lost money. When looking over the NFL odds at A+ rated BookMaker, I have some favorites that look very sharp and a trio of underdogs that many wise guys are thinking can win outright, not just cover the spread.
2-Team Parlay -- Cardinals (-2) & Redskins (-2)
Sharps and the wagering public have the feeling the that Arizona is still better than its record (5-6-1) and Miami is not as good as its mark (7-5) and thus flipped the Cardinals from +2.5 to -2 in south Florida. If you handicap by the numbers, as I mentioned in the Odds Couple video here at SBR, Arizona is +72 in yards differential and Miami is -45, and that is massive difference. Add in the Dolphins are 0-10 ATS on NFL picks in recent December contests and this makes sense.
Why back Washington on the road? Philadelphia is 2-7 SU and ATS since a 3-0 start, the Eagles have few real offensive threats, and their once sound defense has permitted an average of 287 yards passing in last three games and now has to take on the NFL's No. 2 pass offense in Washington. The Redskins by at least 7.
3-Team Parlay -- Chargers (+1) & Packers (+3) & Ravens (+7)
Carolina is hosting San Diego, and the Panthers have been taken down from -3 to -1. After playing in Super Bowl 50, I'm not sure what the Panthers' motivation will. Check this out: after the midpoint of the season and the line is +3 to -3, teams like Carolina off two or more 'overs' scoring 23-27 PPG when facing a team allowing 23-27 PPG are 8-28 ATS.
The loss of Pro Bowl safety Earl Thomas for the season is huge for Seattle, not just here but going forward. With Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense in a better flow, I can see a Packers in win at the frozen tundra.
Baltimore has no fear of New England and has often successfully game-planned against the Pats. With the NFL's top defense not having to worry about Rob Gronkowski, I'm taking the +7 with the Ravens on Monday night.
4-Team Moneyline Parlay
When it comes to moneyline parlays, I like to reduce risk and find situations where the teams I am choosing for NFL picks only have to win the game. Here are the four NFL teams I believe will do just that this week: Colts & Cardinals & Lions & Falcons. If correct, a $100 bet currently should pay $337 and change, which is a really nice Christmas bonus.