It's December and we are heading down the home stretch for betting NFL football. But with five weeks in the regular season and all the playoff games, we still have plenty of time to create success. And here are some winning parlay options for Week 13.
The bye week looked to really rejuvenate Atlanta, as Matt Ryan and Co. ambushed Arizona last Sunday. The offense was crisp, and most noticeably the defense played with more fury and discipline. It sure appears the Falcons are catching Kansas City at just the right time, with the Chiefs coming off a draining Denver victory in which they played almost five quarters and then facing Oakland this coming Thursday. Not that the Chiefs can afford to lose any games in quest to win the AFC West; nonetheless, you have to choose your battles, and this contest is less meaningful than divisional confrontations for K.C. Look for Atlanta to win by 10 or more.
Washington not only competed with Dallas, it outgained the Cowboys by 152 yards on Thanksgiving in a close loss. This has been a deeply disappointing season in the desert. Carson Palmer is looking his age and has taken a real beating -- the lack of putting together even an average offense line has been a big reason why Arizona has regressed. With the Cardinals 1-10 ATS on NFL odds playing against a team with a winning record and the Redskins 9-2 ATS facing losing squads, a Washington win should be no surprise.
3-Team Parlay -- Lions (+6.5) & Dolphins (+3.5) & Giants (+6)
None of these three teams would be described as "impressive" or real Super Bowl contenders at this time, but should be thought of as winners and live underdogs.
As far as this parlay, Detroit might not have as dynamic an offense as New Orleans, but the Lions should be able to score more points than normal against Saints defense and Detroit is 6-0 ATS when the total is 49.5 or higher the last three seasons.
Baltimore has a great defense and some feel that will be enough to contain Miami. However, the Ravens' offense does not score many points, and the Dolphins are getting two key offensive linemen back and are 10-0 ATS on NFL picks as a road underdog off a SU win taking on team playing with revenge.
The Giants have won six in a row and while not always imposing, unquestionably confidence comes from winning. And let's not get all starry-eyed about Pittsburgh, which just beat Cleveland and then Indianapolis on Thanksgiving without Andrew Luck. The Steelers are 4-13 ATS at home vs. defenses allowing 90 or fewer rushing yards a game in the second half of the season.
4-Team Moneyline Parlay
When it comes to moneyline parlays, I like to reduce risk and find situations where the teams I am choosing for NFL picks only have to win the game. Here are the four I believe will outright this week: Falcons & Packers & Seahawks & Redskins. If correct, a $100 bet currently should pay $447 and change, which is really nice payout.