Betting NFC North Teams: Minnesota Vikings Preview

Kevin Stott

Friday, July 17, 2015 9:39 PM GMT

The Minnesota Vikings have added some nice new pieces in this Offseason and get star RB Adrian Peterson back and, in Head Coach Mike Zimmer’s second year in the league expect them to improve.

If this team can play better Defense in 2015, expect the Vikings to possibly snag a Wild Card berth, but for bettors, this Minnesota side seems like one which would be wise to back at the betting window. Let’s look closer at the Vikes and make a Futures and some game picks.

 

Minnesota Vikings: Like a Bridgewater Over Troubled (Purple) Waters
The Minnesota Vikings (7-9 in 2014) and Head Coach Mike Zimmer (10-6 ATS) may be on the brink of a breakthrough. And for sports bettors, paying attention to and maybe backing Minnesota (10-6 ATS in 2014) early on may yield some profits. Why? Many reasons. First, is that Head Coach Zimmer is in his 2nd year and should start getting some traction. Second, and very important, is the fact RB Adrian Peterson will be back. And he should be running mad, and that’s a good thing because it should take some pressure off the Vikings Passing attack. Third, QB Teddy Bridgewater will also be in his second year, and no doubt the versatile Louisville product can put Minnesota (3-2 L5) in a position where they are a better team than the Chicago Bears and maybe as good, or better, than the Detroit Lions (11-5 in 2014) in their home NFC North. Fourth, this team added a ton of talent, real talent like Free Agent WR Mike Wallace (Dolphins), Free Agent CB Terence Newman (Bengals), Rookie CB Trae Waynes (Michigan State), Rookie ILB Eric Kendricks (UCLA) and Free Agent RB DuJuan Harris (Packers).

Some areas Minnesota will have to improve in the 2015 Regular Season: The 2-6 Road mark. And the 1-5 record last season against the NFC North. But for bettors, the VIkings were straight butter last season, going 3-1 ATS as Home Underdogs and 5-3 as Road Underdogs. (Hip bone connected to the thigh bone, thigh bone connected to the knee bone.) But with the Bears sliding and the Lions possibly also poised to dip, expect Minnesota to possibly get to that .500 mark this season and maybe reward its Regular Season Team Win Total (7½, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) Over (Even) backers come January. In Purple We Trust? We’ve listed 12 games they could win, poppa. Why not. In Purple we might trust then, as this Vikings team really looks like it’s on the Upswing and one of those NFL squads poised to bust out in 2015. If so, Minnesota’s Defense will have to improve but adding two CBs like Terrance Newman and Trae Waynes could be monumental and players like Sharrif Floyd (DT),  LB Anthony Barr (LB), Xavier Rhodes (CB) and Harrison Smith (SS), this team is only going to get better under General Manager Mike Spielman. Hopefully all of those guys and others can help the Vikings improve on their paltry -1 Turnover Differential Margin last season (19 Takeaways - 20 Giveaways =). Teams that make the NFL Playoffs usually find ways to steal the pigskin from opponents while those with the high Draft Picks each year are usually careless with the football and end with negative TO Differentials. In Sports, the ball always matters, and if Minnesota can somehow upset the mighty Green Bay Packers at TCF Bank Stadium in Minneapolis on Nov. 22 in Week 11, then who knows, maybe a special season is in store in the Land of 10,000 Lakes. The parts are now starting to come together, and AP has the potential for an outstanding season.

 

Minnesota Vikings QB Depth: Teddy Bridgewater—Shaun Hill—Mike Kafka—Taylor Heinicke
Who’s New and Could Have an Impact? Free Agent CB Terence Newman (Bengals), Free Agent Signing WR Mike Wallace (Dolphins), Free Agent QB Shaun Hill (Rams), Free Agent RB DuJuan Harris (Packers), Free Agent QB Mike Kafka (Buccaneers), Rookie CB Trae Waynes (Michigan State), Rookie ILB Eriek Kendricks (UCLA), Rookie DE Danielle Hunter (LSU), Rookie OT TJ Clemmings (Pittsburgh), Rookie TE McCoyle Pruitt (Southern Illinois University), Rookie WR Stefon Diggs (Maryland), Rookie OT Tyrus Thompson (Oklahoma), Rookie OT Austin Shepherd (Alabama), Rookie OLB Edmond Robinson (Newberry)

Who’s Gone? QB Matt Cassell (Bills), WR Greg Jennings (Dolphins), S Taylor Mays (Lions)

 

Possible Wins on Schedule: Week 1 NFL Picks: @ 49ers; Week 2: Lions; Week 3: Chargers; Week 6: Chiefs; Week 7: @Lions; Week 8: @ Bears; Week 9: Rams; Week 10: @ Raiders; Week 12: @ Falcons; Week 14: @ Cardinals; Week 15: Bears; Week 16: Giants

 

Some Good Potential Betting Spots in Regular Season: Betting on the Vikings when they play their NFC North rival Lions both Home in Minneapolis in Week 2 and Away at Ford Field in Detroit in Week 7 is advised with the Minnesota 4-1 ATS L5 at Home and 2-6 ATS L8 overall vs the Detroit Lions are two good spots for this live Vikings side. Also, in Week 1, finding the +3 (Pinnacle) in the current marketplace with the underdog Vikings at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara against the San Francisco 49ers seems wise in the second game of the opening night Monday Night Football doubleheader (ESPN, 10:20 pm ET/7:20 pm PT). And, a great spot to possibly fade (bet against) Minnesota will be in the Regular Season finale when it heads to Green Bay and Lambeau Field to face QB Aaron Rodgers and the Packers where the Vikings are an anemic 1-5 ATS L6. And that’s also a pretty good Weather Spot bet, with Minnesota an indoor (72°), FieldTurf team going to play on the frozen tundra (grass) in the lovely Winter weather of Door County against the Cheeseheads. Happy New Year. Bring your gloves, Cordarrelle.

Any Good Vikings Futures Bets Now? Betting the Vikings Regular Season Team Total Over 7½ Even (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) seems prudent if all these new guys can gel, Peterson shines and Bridgewater continues to grow after his stellar play as a Rookie (64% completions, 14 TDs). But backing a Dome team (TCF Bank Stadium) like the Vikes to pull off a miraculous Super Bowl (66/1 to win Super Bowl, Sky Bet) win, NFC Championship (28/1, Sky Bet) or even NFC North title (9/1, bet365) seems like wasted money this season with the Pack so mad after losing out on a shot at playing in the Super Bowl after collapsing in the 4th Quarter against the Seahawks in Seattle in the NFC Championship. That anger will surely fuel Green Bay to 12 wins.

 

Recent Relevant Trends: Vikings 6-2 ATS L8 vs Lions, 4-1 ATS L5 Home; Vikings 4-1 ATS L5 vs Rams, 1-3 ATS L4 Home; Vikings 3-8 ATS L11 vs Bears, 1-6 L7 Away; Vikings 1-5 ATS L6 Away vs Packers; Vikings 1-3-1 ATS L5 vs Chiefs; Vikings 1-3 ATS L4 vs Raiders

 

Players to Watch: 2nd-Year QB Teddy Bridgewater, RB Adrian Peterson, Free Agent WR Mike Wallace (Vikings), Free Agent CB Terence Newman (Bengals), Rookie CB Trae Waynes (Michigan State), Rookie ILB Eriek Kendricks (UCLA), WR Jarius Wright, Free Agent QB Shaun Hill (Rams), Free Agent RB DuJuan Harris (Packers), Free Agent QB Mike Kafka (Buccaneers), WR Charles Johnson, WR Cordarrelle Patterson, TE Kyle Rudolph, DB Harrison Smith, DT Sharrif Floyd, CB Xavier Rhodes, LB Anthony Barr, K Blair Walsh

 

Minnesota Vikings Futures Book Pick: Minnesota Vikings Regular Season Team Total Over 7½ Even (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)

Bet on Minnesota Vikings in Regular Season: Week 1—Minnesota Vikings +3 at San Francisco 49ers (Pinnacle); Week 2—Minnesota Vikings over Detroit Lions in Home Opener; Week 7—Minnesota Vikings + Points at Detroit Lions

Bet Against Minnesota Vikings in Regular Season: Week 17—at Green Bay Packers