Betting 5 Pack of Value NFL Picks to Conquer Week the 15 Odds

LT Profits Sports Group

Sunday, December 20, 2015 1:39 PM UTC

Sunday, Dec. 20, 2015 1:39 PM UTC

Here is a 5-Pack of NFL value plays for Week 15 to help build your bankroll Sunday, culminating with Sunday Night Football where the NFC West leading Cardinals visit the Eagles.

Sadly, there are now just three weeks remaining in this 2015 NFL season, although there is still some excitement left with some unsettled playoff spots and with the Carolina Panthers attempting to go 16-0 after getting to 13-0 with a 38-0 wipeout of the NFC South rival Atlanta Falcons last week. And as usual, here we are back again with our weekly 5-Pack of Sunday NFL picks for this Week 15.

The week began with Thursday Night Football as it usually does, although it was not the greatest of matchups as the slightly favored St. Louis Rams defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31-23 in a matchup of two teams that will be watching the NFL Playoffs on television. At least ‘over’ players were pleased with the result with the final score soaring over the closing total of 41, which was a change of pace after the ‘under’ was 7-1 the previous eight Thursday nights.

But now we move on to Sunday, where our 5-Pack this week is comprised of four sides evenly divided between two favorites and two underdogs, as well as one total which happens to be an ‘over’. And as has become our custom in recent seasons, all of these NFL odds come from Pinnacle Sports.

Minnesota Vikings -5½ (-110) over Chicago Bears (1:00 ET)
Both of these teams enter this contest on two-game straight up losing streaks, but at least the Vikings still appear to have a firm hold on a wild card spot at least with an NFC North Division title still within reach. And despite the loss, Minnesota actually impressed us last Thursday night by going on the road to Arizona and going toe-to-toe with the second seeds in the NFC, an 11-2 Cardinals’ team that has now won seven games in a row, before falling just short 23-20 in a game that would have almost certainly gone into overtime if Teddy Bridgewater did not lose a fumble after inexplicably taking a sack in the final seconds with the team out of timeouts. And we also love the matchup here of Adrian Peterson running against a Chicago team ranked 26th in rushing defense, allowing 125.7 yards per game on the ground on a generous 4.7 yards per carry. The Bears meanwhile were dreaming playoffs themselves when they were sitting at 5-6 following a huge road win at Green Bay on Thanksgiving night, but they then failed to take advantage of that momentum by losing back-to-back home games to the 49ers and Redskins, not exactly a couple of powerhouses. Yes the Vikings have injuries on defense, but that is offset by the Bears having a depleted receiving corps. Besides, Minnesota should be able to dominate Time of Possession here with Peterson vs. the shoddy Bears’ defense.

NFL Pick: Minnesota Vikings Against the Spread
Best Line Offered:  -5½ (-110) at BetOnline

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Atlanta Falcons +3 (-110) over Jacksonville Jaguars (1:00 ET)
Let us preface this selection by saying we are well aware that these teams are going in opposite directions, with the Falcons having lost seven of their last eight games since a 5-0 start and the Jaguars incredulously just one game behind the Colts and Texans on the AFC South, albeit with a 5-8 record, after breaking the half-century mark in a 51-16 rout of those Colts here at home last week. Still, in what looks like a classic case of “sell high” can Jacksonville really be trusted as a favorite? The Jags have been favored three times this season and lost two of those games outright to the lowly Chargers and to the Texans early in the season, leaving them at 9-17 ATS and just 14-12 straight up the last 26 times they have been favored! Yes, the Falcons have been struggling, but if the passing tandem of Matt Ryan to Julio Jones does not get back on track here, then it never will considering that Jacksonville is 25th in the league in passing defense allowing 261.7 yards per game through the air. And besides, the Atlanta defense had actually been playing well before the ugly 38-0 loss to the undefeated Panthers last week, and that unit could get back on track here, especially if the Falcons can jump out to a quick early lead.

NFL Pick: Atlanta Falcons Against the Spread
Best Line Offered: +3 (-110) at Bovada

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Buffalo Bills -1½ (-110) over Washington Redskins (1:00 ET)
Although this is a battle of 6-7 teams, both of these clubs are in the playoff hunt although the Bills are probably the team that could least afford a loss here, or probably in any of their three remaining games for that matter. That is because the Redskins are actually in first place on the NFC East right now with their losing record after tiebreakers, although they are in a virtual three-way tie with the Giants and Eagles in a division no team apparently wants to win. More importantly the Skins finish up with two division games at Philadelphia and Dallas following this non-conference game, which is the least important type of game for tiebreakers, so even a loss here would not be the end of the world. The Bills on the other hand just need wins regardless of the opponent as they are two games out of a wild card spot in the AFC with three games remaining, and more importantly they seem well equipped to get a much needed win here. Buffalo has had a strong rushing attack all year, ranking third in the NFL in rushing with 141.8 yards per game, but now wide receiver Sammy Watkins is finally fully healthy and he has had back-to-back big games while having a nice rapport with quarterback Tyrod Taylor, giving the Buffalo offense balance. Granted Kirk Cousins is also hot for Washington, but he is not very mobile and may buckle under the Bills’ pass rush.

NFL Pick: Buffalo Bills Against the Spread
Best Line Offered: -1½ (-110) at BetOnline

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Green Bay Packers, Oakland Raiders ‘over’ 47 (+100) (4:05 ET)
The Packers look like the Packers again, as they have now won two straight games with the offense scoring 27 points in the second half in Detroit two weeks ago and then piling up 435 total yards in a demolition of the Dallas Cowboys last week. Granted the Oakland defense may have played its best game of the season in a 15-12 upset of the Broncos in Denver last week, but that performance seemed to come out of nowhere for a unit ranked 25th in the league in total defense, 28th in passing defense and 23rd on scoring defense, so we feel it was just an aberration vs. an inexperienced starting quarterback in Brock Osweiler. We are anticipating a return to normalcy here with a rejuvenated Aaron Rodgers putting up yards and points vs. what has been a suspect Oakland secondary all year. At the same time we also like the Raiders to score some points here, as we expect bounce-back performances from wide receiver Amari Cooper, who was held without a catch last week by the stout Denver defense, and running back Latavius Murray after being held to 27 rushing yards, and Derek Carr has a realistic chance to reach 4000 passing yards with a good finish to the season.

NFL Pick: Packers & Raiders OVER the Total
Best Line Offered: 47 (+100) at Pinnacle

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Philadelphia Eagles +4 (-105) over Arizona Cardinals (8:30 ET)
While there is little doubt that the Cardinals have the better team here, the Eagles are the team with all of the motivation in this game, and that alone could propel them to an upset at home in prime time in front of a raucous home crowd. That is because the Cardinals have a three-game lead on the second place Seattle Seahawks with three games left while already owning a head-to-head win over them and a better division record. Thus it may be prudent for Arizona to limit some starters, especially with injuries to their running backs and wide receivers. The Eagles were left for dead following a terrible 45-14 loss at Detroit on Thanksgiving, but they then went into Foxboro and shocked Tom Brady and the Patriots and they made it two straight wins by edging the Bills 23-20 here at home last week. That brings Philadelphia to 6-7, but as mentioned earlier that is good enough for a three-way tie atop the NFC East. With that being said, every game is important for the Eagles because they are currently technically in third place after tiebreakers, so a loss would hurt them a lot more than if the Redskins and/or Giants lose outside of the division this week.

NFL Pick: Philadelphia Eagles Against the Spread
Best Line Offered: +4 (-105) at Heritage

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