Bet 'Under' for Eagles vs. Cardinals Week 8 NFL Picks

Jeff Grant

Friday, October 24, 2014 7:16 PM GMT

Friday, Oct. 24, 2014 7:16 PM GMT

The Philadelphia Eagles and Arizona Cardinals are familiar with one another, which makes the UNDER an attractive NFL total play in Week 8.

Heading to the Desert
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS coming out of its bye week, as it looks to build off its best defensive performance in a 27-0 victory over the New York Giants as one-point home favorites—surrendering a season-low 254 yards.

The Eagles allowed 350 total yards in a 24-21 triumph over the Cardinals as 3.5-point home favorites in last year’s meeting, which is important to consider when making your NFL betting picks, as they were limited to 307 yards offensively.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 1-2 SUATS as road underdogs of three or fewer points, with the UNDER going 2-1 in that situation.

 

Pedestrian Offense
It’s surprising to find out that Arizona ranks 29th in the league in averaging just 5.01 yards per play, which is a significant statistic to analyze when looking over the NFL odds, especially since quarterback Carson Palmer has been known to throw the deep ball in his career.

The Cardinals aren’t putting up video-game type numbers offensively, but their four turnovers are tied for the second-fewest heading into this Week 8 matchup between NFC rivals.

It’s important to point out that the squad is on a 10-3 SU and 8-4-1 ATS run when the point spread is between +3 and -3, while the UNDER is 10-3 in those 13 opportunities.

 

Trouble in the Red Zone
Eagles second-year head coach Chip Kelly likes to run the football inside the 20-yard line, but the team ranks last in the NFL in scoring touchdowns in the red zone this season.

Philadelphia may look to throw the ball more in that situation after enjoying an extra week of preparation, especially against a stop unit that is pacing the league in stopping the run.

 

Public Action
It’s no surprise that the public expects this to be a high-scoring affair with Philadelphia involved, but it’s important to point out that these two teams went UNDER the same betting total of 48 a year ago.

The Cardinals finished that game with a minus-three turnover margin, but still managed to limit the high-flying Eagles, which can’t be discounted under their own second-year coach Bruce Arians.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their main NFL picks, as the UNDER is 6-1 in the Cardinals’ last seven games after allowing 90 or fewer yards on the ground in their previous contest.

NFL Pick:  Under 48 at Pinnacle

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