Bet 'Under' for 49ers vs. Saints Week 10 NFL Picks

Jeff Grant

Friday, November 7, 2014 7:11 PM GMT

Friday, Nov. 7, 2014 7:11 PM GMT

New Orleans and San Francisco participated in a defensive battle a year ago, and sports bettors should take a look at the UNDER once again in 2014.

Disappointing Effort
San Francisco surprised the NFL betting community by dropping a 13-10 decision to the St. Louis Rams as 10.5-point home favorites last week—despite winning the statistical battle by a 70-yard margin.

The 49ers have now dropped their last two games following a regular season bye week under head coach Jim Harbaugh, as they seek to gain revenge from a 23-20 loss to the Saints as 3.5-point road underdogs last year.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS as underdogs, with the OVER going 6-2 in that situation.

 

Turned the Corner?
New Orleans has won back-to-back games for the first time this season, which can’t be ignored when making your NFL betting

 

Disappointing Effort
The San Francisco 49ers surprised the NFL betting community by dropping a 13-10 decision to the St. Louis Rams as 10.5-point home favorites last week—despite winning the statistical battle by a 70-yard margin.

The 49ers have now dropped their last two games following a regular season bye week under head coach Jim Harbaugh, as they seek to gain revenge from a 23-20 loss to the Saints as 3.5-point road underdogs last year.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS as underdogs on the NFL odds, with the OVER going 6-2 in that situation.

 

Turned the Corner?
New Orleans has won back-to-back games for the first time this season, which can’t be ignored when making your NFL picks, while it has out-gained six of its last seven opponents.

The Saints have won their last 20 games at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome with Sean Payton on the sidelines, while Drew Brees has compiled a 119.8 passer rating in producing an 11-0 home mark since the start of the 2013 campaign.

It’s important to point out that the squad has covered the number in five of its last seven opportunities when favored by 3.5 to 7 points at this venue.

 

Protecting Kaepernick
The 49ers offensive line hasn’t played at a high level in recent weeks, which is one of the main reasons why quarterback Colin Kaepernick has been sacked 26 times through eight games.

San Francisco must try to establish the running game with Frank Gore leading the charge, as he’s failed to gain over 50 yards on the ground in the last three contests.

 

Pounding the Rock
Brees has often said that the Saints offense is at its best when the running game is complimentary to its passing attack, which has certainly been the case with Mark Ingram emerging on the scene since Week 8—becoming the team’s first running back to gain 100 or more yards in consecutive games since 2006.

New Orleans out-gained San Francisco by a significant 387-196 margin in last year’s matchup, but both sides were held under the century mark in that affair.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their top betting picks, as the UNDER is 5-1 in the Saints’ last six games versus NFC West opponents.

Free NFL Picks:  Under 49 at BetOnline

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