Bet the Total for Bills vs. Texans Week 4 NFL Picks

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, September 23, 2014 3:28 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 23, 2014 3:28 PM UTC

Will Arian Foster play in Week 4? The Texans need to rebound after a bad all-around showing last weekend, as they get set to host the Bills this weekend. How are the NFL betting odds shaping up right now?

Despite losing last weekend, the Texans return to favorites status for Week 4's showdown. They're favored by either 3 or 3.5 points on the NFL odds for now.

A total of 41 has been posted at 5Dimes for now, with plenty of time remaining for line movement. The 'under' has hit in all three of Buffalo's games so far, though the 'over' has cashed in two of Houston's three matchups.

Houston Texans in 2014-15 Regular Season: 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, +4.7 margin of victory

Injury Watch: Arian Foster (questionable), Jadeveon Clowney (out), Shiloh Keo (questionable), Shane Lechler (questionable)

Buffalo Bills in 2014-15 Regular Season: 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, +3.3 margin of victory

Injury Watch: Sammy Watkins (probable), Robert Woods (probable), Keith Rivers (questionable), Da'Norris Searcy (questionable)

The Texans couldn't have asked for a better start to their season, as they shut down Washington in a 17-6 Week 1 win and then got the job done the following week in a 30-14 victory in Oakland.

The good times ran out this past weekend against the Giants, however, with Houston losing 30-17.

Ryan Fitzpatrick was a mess despite throwing for 289 yards and a touchdown and running for 34 yards and an additional score, as he threw three interceptions and was sacked twice. He ended up with a QBR of 21.0. Alfred Blue had to fill in for the injured Arian Foster, and closed with 13 carries for 78 yards. DeAndre Hopkins led all Houston receivers with 116 yards.

The Texans defense wasn't able to stop either Eli Manning or Rashad Jennings, though, leading to the loss. Can they show up and perform to a higher standard this weekend?

Buffalo also was handed a loss in Week 3, falling at home to San Diego as the NFL betting favorites ahead of kickoff. After scoring a combined 52 points in the first two weeks, the Bills were held to just 10 points in front of their own fans.

E.J. Manuel wasn't at his best, as he was 23-of-39 for 238 yards and a touchdown, while adding 24 rushing yards. He threw one interception and avoided turnovers, yet still finished with a very forgettable 8.4 QBR. Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller were ineffective in the running game, totaling 59 yards between them, though Jackson did go off for 78 receiving yards and a touchdown to make up for it.

Nonetheless, it was an uninspiring effort on both sides of the ball for Buffalo, and now the team faces a tough test in Houston against a team that will also be motivated to recover some pride.


Suarez Says:
We see value in backing the Texans in this situation. It's a good bounce-back spot for them after laying a dud against the Giants.

However, we like the look of the 'under' more than anything else.

That's primarily because of which two quarterbacks will be taking the field in this one. Neither Fitzpatrick or Manuel inspire confidence at the most important position in football, so we foresee some struggles offensively in this Week 4 game. That could prove especially true if Foster is unable to play again, as Blue is nowhere near as talented out of the backfield.

We know the Bills are going to try and run the football with their talented duo, and when we put it all together, our preferred lean with our NFL picks will come on the 'under'.

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