Bet Indianapolis Colts -3 vs. Tennessee Titans Thursday

Steven Suarez

Thursday, November 14, 2013 12:53 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 14, 2013 12:53 PM UTC

Both coming off embarrassing losses, the Titans and Colts square off in a Thursday night AFC South battle.

Odds Overview 

Even though Tennessee's at home here, we thought they'd be even large underdogs for this welcoming of Indianapolis. There's still a chance the NFL odds could shift, so keep checking back with to see the updates.

You can find the total anywhere from 41.5 to 42.5. The OVER has been making money for both teams, going 5-4 in the Colts' games and 6-3 in those featuring the Titans.

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Indianapolis Colts

Well, who saw that one coming?

The Colts were favored by 7.5 points in Week 10's meeting with St. Louis, but the Rams came in and dominated from start to finish, winning 38-8 to shock the NFL world.

A fumble recovery for a touchdown in the first three minutes didn't help set the tone, and then Indianapolis had no way to stop the speedy Tavon Austin, who racked up three long scoring plays, one of which was on a punt return.

Andrew Luck was able to rack up 353 passing yards and a late touchdown, but those statistics don't reflect what kind of a disastrous afternoon it was for the second-year pro. Luck was picked off three times and also fumbled in the loss.

TY Hilton, as expected, continued to pick up the slack in the passing game with Reggie Wayne out. He had seven catches for 130 yards, with Donald Brown catching five balls for 64 yards and a score. Th run game was non-existent, totaling a mere 18 yards. 

Tennessee Titans

It was a week to forget for the Titans as well. They were the first team to lose to Jacksonville and it came at home (29-27) to make matters even worse. 

But we're not done. Starting quarterback Jake Locker was knocked out with a foot injury – he's set to miss the remainder of the season – meaning Ryan Fitzpatrick had to come in to try and spur the offense.

All things considered, the backup did well. He was 22-of-33 for 264 yards and two touchdowns and also ran for another score. However, Fitzpatrick's efforts were all for naught, as early mistakes, and a late fumble recovery for a touchdown, were too much to overcome. 

The Titans have now lost four of five straight up, while going 2-3 ATS during that span. There's a good chance another defeat is on the way, with an angry Colts team coming to town. 

Fitzpatrick will have to be at his best to match Luck, and it wouldn't hurt to get Chris Johnson going in the running game either. CJ was held to 30 yards on 12 carries against Jacksonville. Can he fare better against Indianapolis?

Be sure to take a look at our:

NFL Picks: Week 11 Value Picks

NFL Picks: Week 11 Fades & Games to Avoid

NFL Pick

OK, so the Colts were beaten badly at home by an “inferior” team, but are we forgetting about the Titans? They were outplayed by the previously win-less Jaguars and now have to move forward with Fitzpatrick under center. Fitzpatrick did well when he came in, but Tennessee is 0-2 in his starts this season. 

Luck and the Indy offensive line were bad against St. Louis, but we don't expect them to lay an egg like that again in Week 11. They should execute much better on Thursday. 

The Colts have already beaten some top teams, including Denver, Seattle and San Francisco – they topped the 49ers on the road no less – and we're picking them to come in to Nashville and bounce back with a victory. Back Indianapolis with your NFL picks on Thursday night.

Pick: Indianapolis Colts -3

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